BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Fonte Luminosa
Referee: S. dos Santos
Ferroviária
Match Timeline
Maranhão
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Erverson
Maranhão
🟨
45'
Vitor Barreto
Ferroviária
🔄
46'
Erverson ↔ Felipe Cruz
Maranhão
🟨
56'
Vagalume
Maranhão
🔄
58'
Douglas Skilo ↔ Fau
Ferroviária
🟨
59'
Tiburcio
Maranhão
🔄
65'
Jorge Rocha ↔ Richarles
Maranhão
🔄
65'
Vagalume ↔ Luis Gustavo
Maranhão
🟨
69'
Maranhão
Maranhão
🔄
72'
Felipe Rodrigues ↔ Lucas Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🔄
72'
Ricardinho ↔ Fernandinho
Ferroviária
🔄
72'
Alencar ↔ Alan Stence
Ferroviária
🔄
72'
Will ↔ Kessinho
Maranhão
🔄
81'
Albano ↔ Juninho
Ferroviária
🟨
83'
Kessinho
Maranhão
🟨
87'
Lucas Rodrigues
Ferroviária
🟨
90+9'
Ferroviária
Ferroviária

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.8%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ferroviária Win 66.8%
Draw 4.6%
Maranhão Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferroviária1.04
Maranhão0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferroviária Ferroviária
WWDLW
15 GF / 12 GA
Maranhão Maranhão
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferroviária Ferroviária 14 matches
Maranhão Maranhão 14 matches
Ferroviária Statistic Maranhão
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
15 Goals For 11
12 Goals Against 14
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Ferroviária's more proactive style and Maranhão's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Maranhão. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maranhão having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ferroviária Analysis

Ferroviária are currently 8 in the standings with 22 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 15:12 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Maranhão Analysis

With 17 points from 14 games and a place of 15, Maranhão still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats with a 11:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ferroviária won 0 times, Maranhão won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Ferroviária's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Ferroviária wins 0, draws 1, Maranhão wins 0

Lineups

Ferroviária
Formation
Maranhão
Denis Junior
Denis Junior
Felipe Rodrigues
Felipe Rodrigues
Gustavo Medina
Gustavo Medina
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
Eduardo Oliveira
Eduardo Oliveira
Ricardinho
Ricardinho
Alencar
Alencar
Albano
Albano
Douglas Skilo
Douglas Skilo
M. Thiago
M. Thiago
Vitor Barreto
Vitor Barreto
Jean
Jean
Edson Fernando
Edson Fernando
Vander
Vander
Erverson
Erverson
Jorge Rocha
Jorge Rocha
Lucao
Lucao
Tiburcio
Tiburcio
Rosivan
Rosivan
Andre Radija
Andre Radija
Will
Will
Vagalume
Vagalume
Ferroviária 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
Denis Junior
22
Felipe Rodrigues
↓ 72'
13
Gustavo Medina
40
Ze Vitor
29
Eduardo Oliveira
5
Ricardinho
↓ 72'
8
Alencar
↓ 72'
10
Albano
↓ 81'
36
Douglas Skilo
↓ 58'
19
M. Thiago
11
Vitor Barreto
🟨 45'
Substitutes
34
Gustavo Jundi
2
Lucas Rodrigues
↑ 72' 🟨 87'
4
Guilherme Ferreira
6
Rhuan
7
Fau
↑ 58'
15
Fernandinho
↑ 72'
21
Alan Stence
↑ 72'
23
Schilling Arthur
30
Raoni
33
Pedro Estevam
38
Allison
77
Juninho
↑ 81'
Maranhão 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Jean
3
Edson Fernando
8
Vander
9
Erverson
↓ 46' 🟨 33'
10
Jorge Rocha
↓ 65'
13
Lucao
14
Tiburcio
🟨 59'
15
Rosivan
16
Andre Radija
17
Will
↓ 72'
20
Vagalume
↓ 65' 🟨 56'
Substitutes
12
Vitao
5
Railson
6
Lucas Santos
7
Kessinho
↑ 72' 🟨 83'
19
Rafael Teixeira
21
Richarles
↑ 65'
22
Ronald Makalysten
23
Caue
26
Luis Gustavo
↑ 65'
27
C. Peu
29
Felipe Cruz
↑ 46'
Last matches: Ferroviária
23.08.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
17.08.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Paysandu
4
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Figueirense
2
2
D
12.07.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Ituano
3
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Caxias
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Barra
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Amazonas
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Brusque
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Anápolis
1
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Guarani Campinas
2
2
D
20.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Floresta
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Maringá
2
3
L
Last matches: Maranhão
23.08.26
Ser
Maranhão
AO Itabaiana
4
1
W
15.08.26
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Maranhão
Brusque
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maranhão
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ituano
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Paysandu
0
1
L
15.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Maringá
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Anápolis
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Caxias
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Confiança
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Botafogo PB
3
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Floresta
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Volta Redonda
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Amazonas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Barra
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
06.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
3
0
W
H2H: Ferroviária vs Maranhão
25.07.26
H2H
Ferroviária
Maranhão
0
0
D
Last matches: Ferroviária
17.08.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Paysandu
4
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Caxias
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Barra
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Brusque
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Anápolis
1
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Guarani Campinas
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
H2H at home: Ferroviária
25.07.26
H2H
Ferroviária
Maranhão
0
0
D
Last matches: Maranhão
15.08.26
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ituano
0
0
D
15.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Maringá
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Anápolis
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Confiança
1
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Floresta
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Amazonas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Barra
0
3
L
20.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
3
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Imperatriz
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
15.06.25
Ser
Maranhão
Parnahyba
2
2
D
30.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Iguatu
0
1
L
21.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Maranhão
Maracanã
0
0
D
H2H away: Maranhão
25.07.26
H2H
Ferroviária
Maranhão
0
0
D

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation