BRAZIL SERIE C
15.06.2026 23:30
Arena Fonte Luminosa
Referee: B. Monteiro
Ferroviária
Match Timeline
Barra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Tete
Barra
🟨
27'
Ricardinho
Ferroviária
🟨
29'
Warley Jr
Barra
64'
Denilson Chaves · Assist: Denilson Chaves
Ferroviária
65'
Vitor Barreto
Ferroviária
🔄
66'
Tete ↔ Pablo Gabriel
Barra
🔄
66'
Saymon ↔ Nicolas
Barra
🔄
71'
Da Rocha ↔ Matheuzinho
Barra
🔄
74'
Vitor Barreto ↔ Douglas Skilo
Ferroviária
🔄
77'
Allison ↔ Rafael Carillho
Ferroviária
🔄
77'
Fabio Soares ↔ M. Thiago
Ferroviária
🔄
80'
Natan Costa ↔ Matheus Barbosa
Barra
🔄
80'
Cleo Silva ↔ Marcelinho
Barra
🔄
84'
Alencar ↔ Fernandinho
Ferroviária
🔄
84'
Denilson Chaves ↔ Vinni Faria
Ferroviária

Ferroviária vs Barra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.4%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ferroviária Win 42.7%
Draw 15.6%
Barra Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferroviária1
Barra1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferroviária Ferroviária
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Barra Barra
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferroviária Ferroviária 9 matches
Barra Barra 9 matches
Ferroviária Statistic Barra
3 Wins 2
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 2
9 Goals For 12
9 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Barra's more proactive style and Ferroviária's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Barra. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barra having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Ferroviária Analysis

So far, Ferroviária have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Denilson (4 goals), Allison (3 goals), Gustavo Medina (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barra Analysis

Barra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 8 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 10:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Tete (3 goals), Warley Jr (3 goals), Everton Alemao (2 goals), with creative support from Fabio (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ferroviária won 1 times, Barra won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Ferroviária's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
H2H summary: Ferroviária wins 1, draws 0, Barra wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17
Barra Away
19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation