Login Register
15.11.2026 23:30
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.11
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.7%
1.11 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.70 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.37 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 41.8%
Draw 28.9%
Gimnasia Y Tiro Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferro Carril Oeste1.02
Gimnasia Y Tiro0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
D L W D L
2 GF / 6 GA
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
L L W D L
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
13
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 36 matches
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 38 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Statistic Gimnasia Y Tiro
19 Wins 14
9 Draws 11
8 Losses 13
38 Goals For 37
31 Goals Against 37
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
13 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 6
17 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gimnasia Y Tiro. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Y Tiro having the stronger overall control. Gimnasia Y Tiro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 66 points from 36 matches. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses plus a goal ratio of 38:31, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis

Gimnasia Y Tiro enter this tie with a season profile built on 52 points from 36 matches, placing them 8 in their league. With 14 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses plus a goal ratio of 37:35, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, which supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril Oeste won 1 times, Gimnasia Y Tiro won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Ferro Carril Oeste's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.1%)
H2H summary: Ferro Carril Oeste wins 1, draws 1, Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 19 9 8 53:33 20 66
W W W D W
2 36 19 9 8 38:31 7 66
D L W D L
3 36 18 7 11 53:37 16 61
W L L L W
4 36 16 12 8 52:31 21 60
W W D L W
5 36 16 12 8 45:27 18 60
W W D D W
6 36 13 12 11 30:26 4 51
L W D D L
7 36 13 12 11 30:33 -3 51
L L W W W
8 36 13 10 13 35:35 0 49
L D L W L
9 36 12 10 14 39:37 2 46
W W L W D
10 36 9 16 11 27:26 1 43
D D D L L
11 36 8 17 11 22:30 -8 41
W W D D L
12 36 10 11 15 30:41 -11 41
W L D L W
13 36 8 16 12 31:42 -11 40
D L W D W
14 36 10 10 16 32:45 -13 40
L L L W D
15 36 8 15 13 25:34 -9 39
L D D L D
16 36 7 17 12 23:32 -9 38
L D W D D
17 36 8 11 17 25:35 -10 35
D D D W L
18 36 6 15 15 27:42 -15 33
L D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation