ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
21.06.2026 18:30
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste
Match Timeline
Deportivo Moron
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron
🟨
44'
F. Vazquez
Deportivo Moron
🟨
45+2'
E. Contreras
Deportivo Moron
🟨
51'
M. Burruchaga
Deportivo Moron
🟨
53'
E. Ozuna
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
61'
E. Contreras ↔ L. Cardozo
Deportivo Moron
🔄
61'
G. Gonzalez ↔ M. Gonzalez
Deportivo Moron
🔄
61'
M. Burruchaga ↔ G. Berterame
Deportivo Moron
🔄
71'
E. Hoyos ↔ G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
71'
E. Dening ↔ F. Garcia
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
71'
M. Kabalin ↔ L. Marra
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
76'
M. Gonzalez
Deportivo Moron
🔄
78'
M. Bittolo ↔ S. Kubiszyn
Deportivo Moron
🟨
80'
B. Salvareschi
Deportivo Moron
83'
L. Parisi · Assist: K. Nazareno
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
85'
A. Gonzalez ↔ N. Gomez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
85'
J. Olivares ↔ M. Benitez
Deportivo Moron
🟨
90+1'
M. Taron
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
90+2'
L. Parisi ↔ G. Olguin
Ferro Carril Oeste

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Moron Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 31.8%
Draw 18.2%
Deportivo Moron Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferro Carril Oeste1.01
Deportivo Moron1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WWDLW
19 GF / 13 GA
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WLDWL
28 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
7
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 17 matches
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 19 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Statistic Deportivo Moron
9 Wins 11
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
19 Goals For 28
13 Goals Against 16
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
7 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Moron. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Moron having the stronger overall control.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 28 points from 16 games, Ferro Carril Oeste bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:12, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Dening (3 goals), A. Gonzalez (2 goals), F. Garcia (2 goals), with creative support from E. Dening (2 assists), A. Gonzalez (2 assists), K. Nazareno (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 34 points from 17 games, Deportivo Moron bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a 26:14 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on F. Fagundez (7 goals), F. Toloza (5 goals), J. Olivares (5 goals), with creative support from F. Fagundez (4 assists), G. Berterame (4 assists), J. Olivares (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril Oeste won 5 times, Deportivo Moron won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:10 from Ferro Carril Oeste's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
H2H summary: Ferro Carril Oeste wins 5, draws 1, Deportivo Moron wins 3

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
2 29 16 7 6 34:25 9 55
D D D W W
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 29 10 9 10 26:25 1 39
W L D L W
8 29 9 12 8 24:26 -2 39
D L W D L
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 29 6 14 9 27:35 -8 32
D D D L D
14 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
15 29 6 13 10 16:25 -9 31
L W D L W
16 29 7 10 12 23:33 -10 31
W D L W D
17 29 6 12 11 23:33 -10 30
D L L L L
18 29 5 8 16 19:34 -15 23
L L D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation