ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
19.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.4%
1.68
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 77.4%
Draw 5.5%
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferro Carril Oeste1.06
Ciudad de Bolívar0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WWDLW
34 GF / 25 GA
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WLDWL
24 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
12
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 29 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 30 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Statistic Ciudad de Bolívar
16 Wins 9
7 Draws 12
6 Losses 9
34 Goals For 24
25 Goals Against 27
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
12 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ferro Carril Oeste's more proactive style and Ciudad de Bolívar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ciudad de Bolívar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ferro Carril Oeste arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 54 points compared to Ciudad de Bolívar in 7 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ciudad de Bolívar having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ciudad de Bolívar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 54 points after 28 matches. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 34:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar sit 7 with 38 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 24:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril Oeste won 1 times, Ciudad de Bolívar won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Ferro Carril Oeste's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Ferro Carril Oeste - / Ciudad de Bolívar 4-4-2
H2H summary: Ferro Carril Oeste wins 1, draws 0, Ciudad de Bolívar wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
2 29 16 7 6 34:25 9 55
D D D W W
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 29 10 9 10 26:25 1 39
W L D L W
8 29 9 12 8 24:26 -2 39
D L W D L
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 29 6 14 9 27:35 -8 32
D D D L D
14 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
15 29 6 13 10 16:25 -9 31
L W D L W
16 29 7 10 12 23:33 -10 31
W D L W D
17 29 6 12 11 23:33 -10 30
D L L L L
18 29 5 8 16 19:34 -15 23
L L D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation