ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
04.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste
Match Timeline
Atletico Mitre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
G. Olguin
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
28'
A. Gonzalez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
41'
Y. Cabral
Atletico Mitre
🟨
56'
F. Ferrari
Atletico Mitre
🔄
61'
M. Maldonado ↔ A. Ramirez
Atletico Mitre
🔄
62'
M. Kabalin ↔ E. Dening
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
64'
D. Abello
Atletico Mitre
🔄
70'
L. Marra ↔ G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
78'
L. Mendoza ↔ G. Valdivia
Atletico Mitre
🔄
80'
E. Ozuna ↔ K. Nazareno
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
80'
F. Garcia ↔ T. Esidin
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
80'
E. Hoyos ↔ P. Uriel
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
90+4'
M. Machado ↔ J. Zarate
Atletico Mitre

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.7%
1.68
BTTS Yes
75%
2.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.74
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.44
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 82.7%
Draw 4.6%
Atletico Mitre Win 12.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferro Carril Oeste1.28
Atletico Mitre0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WWDLW
34 GF / 25 GA
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WLDWL
27 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
12
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 27 matches
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 27 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Statistic Atletico Mitre
16 Wins 6
5 Draws 12
6 Losses 9
34 Goals For 27
25 Goals Against 35
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
12 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ferro Carril Oeste's more proactive style and Atletico Mitre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico Mitre having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Mitre. Ferro Carril Oeste arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 52 points compared to Atletico Mitre in 11 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 52 points after 26 outings. With 16 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:23, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

So far, Atletico Mitre have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 29 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 25:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril Oeste won 5 times, Atletico Mitre won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:1 from Ferro Carril Oeste's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Ferro Carril Oeste wins 5, draws 3, Atletico Mitre wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation