ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste
Match Timeline
Acassuso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
47'
M. Kabalin
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
62'
F. Obradovich
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
63'
A. Gonzalez ↔ J. Raccio
Acassuso
🔄
63'
K. Dubini ↔ L. Romero
Acassuso
🟨
70'
G. Canto
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
71'
A. Hermoso ↔ R. Reynoso
Acassuso
75'
R. Reynoso · Assist: J. Raccio
Acassuso
76'
L. Parisi · Assist: E. Dening
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
79'
E. Hoyos ↔ G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
79'
E. Dening ↔ N. Gomez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
79'
M. Kabalin ↔ L. Marra
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
86'
F. Tevez ↔ M. Taron
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
87'
J. Ponce ↔ D. Roberts
Acassuso
🔄
87'
D. N. Bellatti S. ↔ S. Borges
Acassuso
🔄
89'
L. Parisi ↔ P. Uriel
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
90+2'
N. Gomez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
90+5'
J. Raccio
Acassuso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.8%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 74.8%
Draw 8.5%
Acassuso Win 16.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferro Carril Oeste1.04
Acassuso0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WWDLW
17 GF / 12 GA
Acassuso Acassuso
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.72
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 16 matches
Acassuso Acassuso 18 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Statistic Acassuso
8 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
17 Goals For 13
12 Goals Against 18
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.72
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Ferro Carril Oeste's more proactive style and Acassuso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Acassuso. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Acassuso having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 25 points after 15 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:11 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Acassuso Analysis

Acassuso sit 12 with 18 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril Oeste won 1 times, Acassuso won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Ferro Carril Oeste's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
H2H summary: Ferro Carril Oeste wins 1, draws 0, Acassuso wins 0

Lineups

Ferro Carril Oeste
Formation
Acassuso
F. Monetti
F. Monetti
K. Nazareno
K. Nazareno
F. Tevez
F. Tevez
G. Canto
G. Canto
S. Corda
S. Corda
M. Kabalin
M. Kabalin
F. Obradovich
F. Obradovich
E. Hoyos
E. Hoyos
E. Dening
🎯
E. Dening
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
L. Parisi
L. Parisi
M. Monllor
M. Monllor
J. Ponce
J. Ponce
D. N. Bellatti S.
D. N. Bellatti S.
B. Dordoni
B. Dordoni
A. Ruiz
A. Ruiz
D. De Stefano
D. De Stefano
N. Acosta
N. Acosta
K. Dubini
K. Dubini
A. Hermoso
A. Hermoso
T. Rodriguez
T. Rodriguez
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
Ferro Carril Oeste 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Monetti
4
K. Nazareno
2
F. Tevez
↓ 86'
6
G. Canto
🟨 70'
3
S. Corda
8
M. Kabalin
⚽ 47' ↓ 79'
5
F. Obradovich
🟨 62'
10
E. Hoyos
↓ 79'
11
E. Dening
🎯 76' ↓ 79'
7
A. Gonzalez
9
L. Parisi
⚽ 76' ↓ 89'
Substitutes
12
L. Ruiz
13
M. Taron
↑ 86'
14
F. Torrent
15
G. Olguin
16
G. Castellani
↑ 79'
17
N. Gomez
↑ 79' 🟨 90+2'
18
P. Uriel
↑ 89'
19
J. Menendez
20
L. Marra
↑ 79'
Acassuso 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Monllor
4
J. Ponce
↓ 87'
2
D. N. Bellatti S.
↓ 87'
6
B. Dordoni
3
A. Ruiz
5
D. De Stefano
7
N. Acosta
8
K. Dubini
↓ 63'
10
A. Hermoso
↓ 71'
11
T. Rodriguez
9
A. Gonzalez
↓ 63'
Substitutes
12
C. Atamanuk
13
L. Pioli
14
J. Ghiraldello
15
D. Roberts
↑ 87'
16
J. Raccio
🎯 75' ↑ 63' 🟨 90+5'
17
R. Reynoso
⚽ 75' ↑ 71'
18
N. Petillo
19
L. Romero
↑ 63'
20
S. Borges
↑ 87'
Last matches: Ferro Carril Oeste
11.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
1
W
21.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Ciudad de Bolívar
4
2
W
28.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Los Andes
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
0
W
Last matches: Acassuso
12.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
2
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Miguel
0
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Acassuso
Central Norte
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cop
Acassuso
Gimnasia L.P.
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
All Boys
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Los Andes
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
2
L
29.03.26
Cop
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Moron
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Telmo
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
3
0
W
H2H: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Acassuso
14.06.26
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
Acassuso
2
1
W
Last matches: Ferro Carril Oeste
05.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
1
W
21.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
28.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Los Andes
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ferro Carril Oeste
14.06.26
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
Acassuso
2
1
W
Last matches: Acassuso
12.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Racing Cordoba
2
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Acassuso
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Acassuso
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
All Boys
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Midland
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Acassuso
Godoy Cruz
0
2
L
29.03.26
Cop
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
Colon Santa Fe
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Acassuso
San Telmo
3
2
W
H2H away: Acassuso
14.06.26
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
Acassuso
2
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 4 4 23:14 9 40
W W W W W
2 20 9 8 3 27:15 12 35
W W L W D
3 20 10 5 5 29:19 10 35
D L L W W
4 20 8 8 4 19:8 11 32
W L L W D
5 20 7 9 4 19:16 3 30
L W L L D
6 20 8 6 6 18:16 2 30
W D W W D
7 20 8 6 6 15:13 2 30
D W W W L
8 20 7 8 5 27:22 5 29
D L W D D
9 20 7 7 6 20:17 3 28
W L L L W
10 20 5 10 5 17:21 -4 25
L D W D D
11 20 6 6 8 20:24 -4 24
W D L W D
12 20 5 8 7 14:18 -4 23
L W L L D
13 20 4 9 7 13:20 -7 21
D D W L D
14 20 4 8 8 16:21 -5 20
L L W D D
15 20 5 4 11 15:23 -8 19
L D L L W
16 20 4 7 9 12:21 -9 19
L D W D L
17 20 3 9 8 19:27 -8 18
L D L L L
18 20 3 7 10 17:26 -9 16
W D W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation