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31.10.2026 19:00
Parque Capurro

Fenix vs Cerrito Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fenix Win 45.1%
Draw 26%
Cerrito Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fenix1.29
Cerrito1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fenix Fenix
L D W L D
5 GF / 5 GA
Cerrito Cerrito
L W W L D
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
18
BTTS Yes
17
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fenix Fenix 30 matches
Cerrito Cerrito 29 matches
Fenix Statistic Cerrito
11 Wins 10
11 Draws 11
8 Losses 8
41 Goals For 37
32 Goals Against 34
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
18 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Fenix's more proactive style and Cerrito's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cerrito. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cerrito having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Fenix Analysis

Fenix approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 11 points after 6 outings. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Cerrito Analysis

Cerrito are currently 8 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3
Fenix Home
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D