WORLD UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
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Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.3%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fenerbahçe Win 44.7%
Draw 11.7%
Sturm Graz Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fenerbahçe2.13
Sturm Graz1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WWDLW
13 GF / 2 GA
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
WLDWL
35 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
2.92
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
2
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
7.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5 matches
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 12 matches
Fenerbahçe Statistic Sturm Graz
4 Wins 7
1 Draws 4
0 Losses 1
13 Goals For 35
2 Goals Against 17
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.92
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
2 BTTS Yes 7
4 Over 1.5 11
3 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 7.5
14.5 Total Shots 18.5
8 Corners 3
65.5% Ball Possession 34.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fenerbahçe won 1 times, Sturm Graz won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Fenerbahçe's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1 / Sturm Graz 4-4-2
H2H summary: Fenerbahçe wins 1, draws 1, Sturm Graz wins 0
Last matches: Fenerbahçe
29.07.26
UEF
Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
21.07.26
UEF
Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Fenerbahçe
Lask Linz
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Fenerbahçe
Pogon Szczecin
4
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fenerbahçe
Admira Wacker
5
0
W
17.05.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Eyüpspor
3
3
D
09.05.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Konyaspor
3
0
W
02.05.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
3
1
W
26.04.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Galatasaray
0
3
L
17.04.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Rizespor
2
2
D
11.04.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Kayserispor
4
0
W
05.04.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
1
0
W
17.03.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Gaziantep FK
4
1
W
13.03.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Fatih Karagümrük
0
2
L
08.03.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
3
2
W
01.03.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Antalyaspor
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
23.02.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
14.02.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Trabzonspor
3
2
W
Last matches: Sturm Graz
28.07.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
2
0
W
24.07.26
Cup
Sturm Graz
Seekirchen
3
0
W
21.07.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Kalsdorf
4
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
FK Košice
2
2
D
30.06.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
LNZ Cherkasy
2
6
L
26.06.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Mura
5
0
W
17.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
2
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
4
2
W
03.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
26.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
1
1
D
22.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
1
1
D
19.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
1
1
D
12.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
05.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
First Vienna
1
1
D
20.03.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
15.03.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
5
2
W
H2H: Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
03.08.17
H2H
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
27.07.17
H2H
Sturm Graz
Fenerbahçe
1
2
W
Last matches: Fenerbahçe
21.07.26
UEF
Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Fenerbahçe
Pogon Szczecin
4
0
W
17.05.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Eyüpspor
3
3
D
02.05.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
3
1
W
17.04.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Rizespor
2
2
D
05.04.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
1
0
W
17.03.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Gaziantep FK
4
1
W
08.03.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
3
2
W
23.02.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
09.02.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
3
1
W
25.01.26
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Göztepe
1
1
D
22.01.26
UEF
Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa
0
1
L
06.01.26
Sup
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
2
0
W
15.12.25
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Konyaspor
4
0
W
01.12.25
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Galatasaray
1
1
D
27.11.25
UEF
Fenerbahçe
Ferencvarosi TC
1
1
D
09.11.25
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Kayserispor
4
2
W
23.10.25
UEF
Fenerbahçe
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
19.10.25
Süp
Fenerbahçe
Fatih Karagümrük
2
1
W
H2H at home: Fenerbahçe
03.08.17
H2H
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
Last matches: Sturm Graz
28.07.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
2
0
W
24.07.26
Cup
Sturm Graz
Seekirchen
3
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
4
2
W
03.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
19.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
1
1
D
05.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
2
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
5
2
W
01.03.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
2
2
D
14.02.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
0
1
L
01.02.26
Cup
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
1
3
L
22.01.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Feyenoord
0
3
L
08.01.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
14.12.25
Bun
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
1
3
L
30.11.25
Bun
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Sturm Graz
Panathinaikos
1
2
L
02.11.25
Bun
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
1
2
L
29.10.25
Cup
Sturm Graz
Admira Wacker
1
1
D
23.10.25
UEF
Sturm Graz
Celtic
1
2
L
19.10.25
Bun
Sturm Graz
FC BW Linz
4
3
W
05.10.25
Bun
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
2
0
W
H2H away: Sturm Graz
03.08.17
H2H
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
1
1
D