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05.08.2026 18:00
Chobani Stadium
Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
Fenerbahçe
Match Timeline
Sturm Graz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Talisca · Assist: K. Akturkoglu
Fenerbahçe
🟨
21'
Jon Gorenc Stanković
Sturm Graz
🔄
30'
J. Oosterwolde ↔ A. Brown
Fenerbahçe
⚽
45'
M. Greenwood · Assist: M. Asensio
Fenerbahçe
🔄
46'
S. Wlodarczyk ↔ A. Kayombo
Sturm Graz
🟨
58'
Jurgen Heil
Sturm Graz
🔄
64'
S. Seidl ↔ G. Mamageishvili
Sturm Graz
🔄
64'
L. Weinhandl ↔ R. Fosso
Sturm Graz
🔄
64'
S. Jatta ↔ N. Weiper
Sturm Graz
🟨
65'
Axel Kayombo
Sturm Graz
🔄
69'
M. Greenwood ↔ Fred
Fenerbahçe
🔄
69'
M. Asensio ↔ I. Kahveci
Fenerbahçe
🔄
85'
N. Semedo ↔ M. Muldur
Fenerbahçe
🔄
85'
K. Akturkoglu ↔ O. Aydin
Fenerbahçe
🔄
87'
J. Hodl ↔ B. Beganovic
Sturm Graz

Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fenerbahçe Win 44.7%
Draw 11.7%
Sturm Graz Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fenerbahçe2.11
Sturm Graz1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
D W W W W
13 GF / 2 GA
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
D W W W W
11 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
2.77
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
2
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5 matches
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 13 matches
Fenerbahçe Statistic Sturm Graz
4 Wins 7
1 Draws 5
0 Losses 1
13 Goals For 36
2 Goals Against 18
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.77
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
2 BTTS Yes 8
4 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 7
14.5 Total Shots 17.33
8 Corners 4
65.5% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Fenerbahçe won 3 times, Sturm Graz won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Fenerbahçe's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1 / Sturm Graz 4-4-2
H2H summary: Fenerbahçe wins 3, draws 1, Sturm Graz wins 0

Standings

League Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 14:5 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 12:3 9 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 12:7 5 9
W W W
4 3 3 0 0 10:5 5 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 7:4 3 9
W W W
6 3 2 1 0 7:2 5 7
D W W
7 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
D W W
8 3 2 0 1 11:6 5 6
L W W
9 3 2 0 1 10:5 5 6
W L W
10 3 2 0 1 9:5 4 6
W L W
11 3 2 0 1 9:6 3 6
W W L
12 3 2 0 1 7:4 3 6
L W W
13 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
W L W
14 3 1 2 0 10:5 5 5
D D W
15 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
W L D
16 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
D W L
17 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W D
18 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
19 3 1 0 2 8:8 0 3
L W L
20 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
W L L
21 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
L L W
22 3 1 0 2 5:7 -2 3
W L L
23 3 1 0 2 6:9 -3 3
W L L
24 3 1 0 2 6:9 -3 3
W L L W L
25 3 1 0 2 3:6 -3 3
L W L W L
26 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L W L
27 3 1 0 2 3:7 -4 3
L L W
28 3 1 0 2 4:9 -5 3
L W L W W
29 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L L W W D
30 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L W L
31 3 0 2 1 3:9 -6 2
D L D W D
32 3 0 1 2 4:7 -3 1
D L L
33 3 0 1 2 5:9 -4 1
L D L W D
34 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0
L L L
35 3 0 0 3 4:10 -6 0
L L L
36 3 0 0 3 1:13 -12 0
L L L W D
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