05.08.2026 18:00
Chobani Stadium
Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
Fenerbahçe
Match Timeline
Sturm Graz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Talisca · Assist: K. Akturkoglu
Fenerbahçe
🟨
21'
Jon Gorenc Stanković
Sturm Graz
🔄
30'
J. Oosterwolde ↔ A. Brown
Fenerbahçe
45'
M. Greenwood · Assist: M. Asensio
Fenerbahçe
🔄
46'
S. Wlodarczyk ↔ A. Kayombo
Sturm Graz
🟨
58'
Jurgen Heil
Sturm Graz
🔄
64'
S. Seidl ↔ G. Mamageishvili
Sturm Graz
🔄
64'
L. Weinhandl ↔ R. Fosso
Sturm Graz
🔄
64'
S. Jatta ↔ N. Weiper
Sturm Graz
🟨
65'
Axel Kayombo
Sturm Graz
🔄
69'
M. Greenwood ↔ Fred
Fenerbahçe
🔄
69'
M. Asensio ↔ I. Kahveci
Fenerbahçe
🔄
85'
N. Semedo ↔ M. Muldur
Fenerbahçe
🔄
85'
K. Akturkoglu ↔ O. Aydin
Fenerbahçe
🔄
87'
J. Hodl ↔ B. Beganovic
Sturm Graz

Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.3%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fenerbahçe Win 44.7%
Draw 11.7%
Sturm Graz Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fenerbahçe2.11
Sturm Graz1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WWDLW
13 GF / 2 GA
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
WLDWL
36 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
2.77
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
2
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5 matches
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 13 matches
Fenerbahçe Statistic Sturm Graz
4 Wins 7
1 Draws 5
0 Losses 1
13 Goals For 36
2 Goals Against 18
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.77
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
2 BTTS Yes 8
4 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 7
14.5 Total Shots 17.33
8 Corners 4
65.5% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Fenerbahçe won 3 times, Sturm Graz won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Fenerbahçe's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1 / Sturm Graz 4-4-2
H2H summary: Fenerbahçe wins 3, draws 1, Sturm Graz wins 0

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)