SWITZERLAND › SUPER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 16:00
Letzigrund Stadion

FC Zurich vs FC Thun Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Zurich Win 39.5%
Draw 28%
FC Thun Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Zurich1.98
FC Thun2.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Zurich FC Zurich
WWDLW
30 GF / 39 GA
FC Thun FC Thun
WLDWL
46 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
2.19
2.44
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
15
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
16
4
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Zurich FC Zurich 16 matches
FC Thun FC Thun 21 matches
FC Zurich Statistic FC Thun
5 Wins 8
2 Draws 4
9 Losses 9
30 Goals For 46
39 Goals Against 45
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
2.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
15 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 13
0 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.38
12.11 Total Shots 10.19
4.33 Corners 4.69
45.7% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Zurich expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and FC Thun in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Thun having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Thun arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Thun. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FC Zurich Analysis

From their first 9 matches, FC Zurich have collected 11 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 14:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on U. Emmanuel (3 goals), P. Keny (3 goals), B. Krasniqi (1 goals), with creative support from U. Emmanuel (2 assists), P. Keny (1 assists), B. Krasniqi (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Thun Analysis

With 10 points from 9 games and a place of 9, FC Thun still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 15:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Labeau (3 goals), F. Dursun (2 goals), F. Saiz (2 goals), with creative support from F. Dursun (4 assists), F. Saiz (1 assists), N. Reichmuth (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Zurich won 7 times, FC Thun won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:25 from FC Zurich's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.1%)
Predicted formations: FC Zurich 4-1-4-1 / FC Thun 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: FC Zurich wins 7, draws 4, FC Thun wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 27:7 20 25
W W D W W
2 9 5 4 0 31:18 13 19
W D D W D
3 9 6 1 2 23:14 9 19
D W W W W
4 9 4 1 4 17:17 0 13
L W L L D
5 9 4 1 4 16:19 -3 13
W L L W L
6 9 3 3 3 17:18 -1 12
W L D W D
7 9 3 2 4 14:20 -6 11
D W D L W
8 9 3 1 5 11:13 -2 10
L W W L L
9 9 3 1 5 15:23 -8 10
W L L L D
10 9 2 2 5 13:24 -11 8
L L W D W
11 9 2 0 7 18:21 -3 6
L L W L W
12 9 1 3 5 7:15 -8 6
L L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs