SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Schützenwiese
Referee: N. Gianforte
FC Winterthur
Match Timeline
FC Luzern
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Adrian Bajrami
FC Luzern
39'
O. Kabwit · Assist: R. Dantas
FC Luzern
🟥
45+1'
Tibault Citherlet
FC Winterthur
🔄
46'
L. Maksutaj ↔ A. Hunziker
FC Winterthur
54'
P. Dorn · Assist: A. Vasovic
FC Luzern
🔄
58'
E. Essiam ↔ N. Burkart
FC Winterthur
🔄
58'
R. Buess ↔ E. Maluvunu
FC Winterthur
🔄
63'
M. Di Giusto ↔ S. Karweina
FC Luzern
🔄
63'
L. M. Silva Ferreira ↔ K. Spadanuda
FC Luzern
68'
O. Kabwit
FC Luzern
🔄
74'
L. Zuffi ↔ P. Kasami
FC Winterthur
🔄
74'
O. Kabwit ↔ J. Von Moos
FC Luzern
🔄
74'
A. Vasovic ↔ L. Villiger
FC Luzern
🔄
80'
T. Abe ↔ L. Winkler
FC Luzern
🔄
83'
F. Rohner ↔ D. Ulrich
FC Winterthur
🟨
85'
Stefan Knežević
FC Luzern
🟨
90'
Stéphane Cueni
FC Winterthur

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Winterthur Win 27.9%
Draw 10.7%
FC Luzern Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Winterthur1.43
FC Luzern2.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
WWDLW
44 GF / 97 GA
FC Luzern FC Luzern
WLDWL
73 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.97
2.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
26
BTTS Yes
28
29
Over 2.5
30
4.19
Shots on Goal
4.49

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 37 matches
FC Luzern FC Luzern 37 matches
FC Winterthur Statistic FC Luzern
5 Wins 13
8 Draws 11
24 Losses 13
44 Goals For 73
97 Goals Against 66
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
2.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
26 BTTS Yes 28
36 Over 1.5 34
29 Over 2.5 30
19 Over 3.5 21
0 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 4
4.19 Shots On Goal 4.49
11.78 Total Shots 14.35
3.65 Corners 5.49
44% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Luzern's more proactive style and FC Winterthur's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Winterthur have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Winterthur expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Luzern in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Luzern having the stronger overall control. FC Luzern carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 47 points while FC Winterthur sit 6 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Luzern.

FC Winterthur Analysis

FC Winterthur approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 23 points from 36 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 42:94, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Hunziker (11 goals), N. Burkart (5 goals), T. Golliard (4 goals), with creative support from T. Golliard (6 assists), A. Hunziker (4 assists), Randy Schneider (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Luzern Analysis

FC Luzern arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 47 points after 36 matches. The record of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 72:66 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Di Giusto (12 goals), O. Kabwit (8 goals), L. M. Silva Ferreira (7 goals), with creative support from M. Di Giusto (12 assists), O. Kabwit (6 assists), Tyron Owusu (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Winterthur won 3 times, FC Luzern won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:35 from FC Winterthur's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: FC Winterthur 4-2-3-1 / FC Luzern 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: FC Winterthur wins 3, draws 3, FC Luzern wins 9
Stats
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
FC Luzern FC Luzern
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
9
1 Corner Kicks 6
7 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 3
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 27
0 Shots on Goal 9
6 Shots off Goal 9
6 Blocked Shots 9
4 Shots insidebox 17
8 Shots outsidebox 10
6 Goalkeeper Saves 0
365 Total passes 497
298 Passes accurate 428
0.54 expected_goals 2.33
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Winterthur
Formation
FC Luzern
A. Spagnoli
A. Spagnoli
T. Citherlet
T. Citherlet
R. Arnold
R. Arnold
L. Luthi
L. Luthi
F. Rohner
F. Rohner
E. Essiam
E. Essiam
L. Zuffi
L. Zuffi
S. Cueni
S. Cueni
R. Smith
R. Smith
L. Maksutaj
L. Maksutaj
R. Buess
R. Buess
P. Loretz
P. Loretz
P. Dorn
P. Dorn
S. Knezevic
S. Knezevic
A. Bajrami
A. Bajrami
R. Dantas
🎯
R. Dantas
T. Owusu
T. Owusu
T. Abe
T. Abe
M. Di Giusto
M. Di Giusto
L. M. Silva Ferreira
L. M. Silva Ferreira
A. Vasovic
🎯
A. Vasovic
O. Kabwit
⚽ 2
O. Kabwit
FC Winterthur 3-5-2
Starting XI
75
A. Spagnoli
G
33
T. Citherlet
🟥 45+1'
D
16
R. Arnold
D
21
L. Luthi
D
27
F. Rohner
↓ 83'
M
6
E. Essiam
↓ 58'
M
7
L. Zuffi
↓ 74'
M
44
S. Cueni
🟨 90'
M
3
R. Smith
M
35
L. Maksutaj
↓ 46'
F
9
R. Buess
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
30
N. Brogli
G
23
P. Kasami
↑ 74'
M
18
S. Diaby
D
99
N. Burkart
↑ 58'
F
22
A. Durrer
M
8
T. Golliard
M
19
D. Ulrich
↑ 83'
M
17
A. Hunziker
↑ 46'
F
37
E. Maluvunu
↑ 58'
M
FC Luzern 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
P. Loretz
G
20
P. Dorn
⚽ 54'
D
5
S. Knezevic
🟨 85'
D
4
A. Bajrami
🟨 2'
D
22
R. Dantas
🎯 39'
D
24
T. Owusu
M
6
T. Abe
↓ 80'
M
11
M. Di Giusto
↓ 63'
M
73
L. M. Silva Ferreira
↓ 63'
M
19
A. Vasovic
🎯 54' ↓ 74'
F
16
O. Kabwit
⚽ 39' ⚽ 68' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
41
J. Bock
G
9
A. Grbic
F
14
A. Ciganiks
D
10
S. Karweina
↑ 63'
F
81
J. Von Moos
↑ 74'
F
7
K. Spadanuda
↑ 63'
M
27
L. Villiger
↑ 74'
F
2
S. Ottiger
D
29
L. Winkler
↑ 80'
M
Last matches: FC Winterthur
17.07.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
Union Berlin
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
Brühl
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
0
1
L
12.05.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Grasshoppers
2
3
L
09.05.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Lausanne
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Zurich
2
2
D
26.04.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Servette FC
3
5
L
11.04.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Grasshoppers
0
2
L
04.04.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Lausanne
1
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
0
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Sion
1
1
D
03.03.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Servette FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
25.02.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Thun
0
3
L
18.02.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
1
5
L
14.02.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
BSC Young Boys
1
6
L
Last matches: FC Luzern
25.07.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
St. Truiden
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
FC Luzern
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3
2
W
12.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
3
3
D
02.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
3
1
W
25.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
2
2
D
06.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
0
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
4
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
1
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
3
1
W
04.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
1
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
4
2
W
14.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
4
1
W
10.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
4
3
W
07.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
0
0
D
H2H: FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern
04.07.26
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
2
L
16.05.26
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
0
3
L
15.03.26
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
1
2
W
29.11.25
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
1
3
W
25.10.25
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
2
D
09.02.25
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
2
L
11.01.25
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
1
5
L
14.12.24
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
3
4
L
24.08.24
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
0
L
11.02.24
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
1
L
22.07.23
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
0
0
D
27.04.23
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
1
L
10.04.23
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
1
2
L
05.11.22
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Winterthur
17.07.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
Union Berlin
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
Brühl
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Lausanne
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Zurich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Grasshoppers
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
0
2
L
03.03.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Servette FC
1
1
D
25.02.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Thun
0
3
L
18.02.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
1
5
L
07.02.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Lugano
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
FC Winterthur
Lausanne
2
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
FC Winterthur
TSV 1860 München
1
4
L
16.12.25
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Thun
1
4
L
07.12.25
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
1
2
L
08.11.25
Sup
FC Winterthur
Grasshoppers
0
1
L
01.11.25
Sup
FC Winterthur
Servette FC
4
2
W
25.10.25
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
2
D
05.10.25
Sup
FC Winterthur
FC Lugano
2
4
L
H2H at home: FC Winterthur
16.05.26
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
0
3
L
25.10.25
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
2
D
11.01.25
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
1
5
L
14.12.24
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
3
4
L
11.02.24
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
1
W
22.07.23
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
0
0
D
10.04.23
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
1
2
L
Last matches: FC Luzern
10.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900
2
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
3
1
W
25.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
2
1
W
06.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
0
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
3
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
4
1
W
07.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
0
0
D
24.01.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
1
1
D
05.01.26
Fri
FC Luzern
VfB Stuttgart
2
3
L
21.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
4
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
0
2
L
06.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
4
L
08.11.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
2
3
L
30.10.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
0
2
L
25.10.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
2
1
W
31.08.25
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
2
2
D
24.08.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
1
0
W
26.07.25
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
3
2
W
H2H away: FC Luzern
16.05.26
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
0
3
W
25.10.25
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
2
D
11.01.25
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
1
5
W
14.12.24
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
3
4
W
11.02.24
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
2
1
L
22.07.23
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
0
0
D
10.04.23
H2H
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
1
2
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 24 2 7 75:37 38 74
D L L L L
2 33 17 9 7 64:40 24 60
D W W L W
3 33 16 9 8 50:38 12 57
W D L W W
4 33 15 8 10 51:45 6 53
L L L W L
5 33 13 13 7 51:35 16 52
D D W W W
6 33 13 9 11 65:60 5 48
D W W L L
7 33 10 10 13 64:61 3 40
W W D W W
8 33 9 13 11 57:57 0 40
W W D W W
9 33 10 9 14 47:57 -10 39
L L L L W
10 33 10 4 19 45:63 -18 34
L L W D L
11 33 6 9 18 40:65 -25 27
W D W W L
12 33 4 7 22 35:86 -51 19
L L W D L
Championship round
Relegation Round