Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
93.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Winterthur
37 matches
FC Luzern
37 matches
| FC Winterthur | Statistic | FC Luzern |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 11 |
| 24 | Losses | 13 |
| 44 | Goals For | 73 |
| 97 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.97 |
| 2.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 19 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 4.49 |
| 11.78 | Total Shots | 14.35 |
| 3.65 | Corners | 5.49 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 50.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Luzern's more proactive style and FC Winterthur's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Winterthur have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Winterthur expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Luzern in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Luzern having the stronger overall control. FC Luzern carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 47 points while FC Winterthur sit 6 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Luzern.
FC Winterthur approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 23 points from 36 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 42:94, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Hunziker (11 goals), N. Burkart (5 goals), T. Golliard (4 goals), with creative support from T. Golliard (6 assists), A. Hunziker (4 assists), Randy Schneider (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
FC Luzern arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 47 points after 36 matches. The record of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 72:66 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Di Giusto (12 goals), O. Kabwit (8 goals), L. M. Silva Ferreira (7 goals), with creative support from M. Di Giusto (12 assists), O. Kabwit (6 assists), Tyron Owusu (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Winterthur won 3 times, FC Luzern won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:35 from FC Winterthur's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.
FC Winterthur
0
9
6
9
6
9
Lineups
FC Winterthur
Union Berlin
FC Winterthur
Brühl
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
Lausanne
FC Winterthur
FC Zurich
FC Winterthur
Servette FC
FC Winterthur
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
Lausanne
FC Winterthur
Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
FC Sion
FC Winterthur
Servette FC
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
FC Thun
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
FC Thun
FC Luzern
St. Truiden
FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
FC Luzern
Servette FC
FC Luzern
Lausanne
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
Servette FC
FC Luzern
Lausanne
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
FC Thun
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
FC Luzern
FC Sion
FC Winterthur
Union Berlin
FC Winterthur
Brühl
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
Lausanne
FC Winterthur
FC Zurich
FC Winterthur
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
Servette FC
FC Winterthur
FC Thun
FC Winterthur
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
FC Lugano
FC Winterthur
Lausanne
FC Winterthur
TSV 1860 München
FC Winterthur
FC Thun
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
Servette FC
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900
FC Luzern
Lausanne
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
FC Luzern
Servette FC
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Thun
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
FC Luzern
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC Sion
FC Luzern
VfB Stuttgart
FC Luzern
Lausanne
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
FC Thun
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC Luzern
Servette FC
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 24 | 60 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 12 | 57 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 52 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 5 | 48 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
FC Luzern
Away
|
33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 3 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 0 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | -10 | 39 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | -18 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | -25 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Winterthur
Home
|
33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | -51 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|