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17.05.2026 12:30
Kras Stadion
Referee: M. Nagtegaal
FC Volendam
Match Timeline
Telstar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
A. Descotte · Assist: J. Bacuna
FC Volendam
🟨
27'
Yannick Leliendal
FC Volendam
⚽
44'
D. Bakker · Assist: J. Hardeveld
Telstar
🟨
50'
Nick Verschuren
FC Volendam
🟨
61'
Tyrese Noslin
Telstar
🔄
61'
B. Pauwels ↔ H. Veerman
FC Volendam
🔄
66'
S. van Duijn ↔ J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
Telstar
🔄
66'
T. Noslin ↔ G. Alders
Telstar
🔄
67'
K. Tejan ↔ S. Hetli
Telstar
🔄
70'
B. Ould-Chikh ↔ B. Kuwas
FC Volendam
🔄
70'
N. Bukala ↔ R. Muhren
FC Volendam
🔄
81'
G. Yah ↔ A. Oehlers
FC Volendam
🔄
81'
N. Verschuren ↔ D. Kwakman
FC Volendam
🔄
82'
N. Rossen ↔ J. Seedorf
Telstar
VAR
86'
Danny Bakker
Telstar
🟨
89'
Ronald Koeman Jr
Telstar
⚽
89'
R. Koeman
Telstar

FC Volendam vs Telstar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Volendam Win 49.2%
Draw 15.4%
Telstar Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Volendam1.27
Telstar1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Volendam FC Volendam
D L W L D
4 GF / 5 GA
Telstar Telstar
W D W L L
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
19
BTTS Yes
21
19
Over 2.5
19
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 matches
Telstar Telstar 33 matches
FC Volendam Statistic Telstar
8 Wins 8
8 Draws 10
17 Losses 15
34 Goals For 47
53 Goals Against 54
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
19 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 13
3 Clean Sheets 5
12 Failed To Score 8
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.97
10.82 Total Shots 12.94
3.64 Corners 4.88
44.8% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Volendam expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Telstar in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Telstar having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Telstar. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

FC Volendam Analysis

With 32 points from 33 games and a place of 16, FC Volendam still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 34:53, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Muhren (6 goals), B. Kuwas (5 goals), A. Oehlers (4 goals), with creative support from B. Kuwas (4 assists), D. Kwakman (4 assists), R. van Cruijsen (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Telstar Analysis

Telstar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 34 points from 33 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 47:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Ritmeester van de Kamp (7 goals), P. Brouwer (7 goals), J. Hardeveld (6 goals), with creative support from P. Brouwer (6 assists), J. Hardeveld (6 assists), Tyrese Noslin (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Volendam won 7 times, Telstar won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:22 from FC Volendam's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Volendam 4-2-3-1 / Telstar 3-4-2-1
Missing players: FC Volendam 4, Telstar 5
H2H summary: FC Volendam wins 7, draws 5, Telstar wins 3

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie