NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Kras Stadion
Referee: S. Gozubuyuk
FC Volendam
Match Timeline
Heerenveen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Precious Ugwu
FC Volendam
8'
L. Oyen · Assist: V. Zagaritis
Heerenveen
🟨
11'
Juninho Bacuna
FC Volendam
🟨
40'
Nordin Bukala
FC Volendam
🟨
41'
Joris van Overeem
Heerenveen
🔄
51'
O. Kokcu ↔ B. Kuwas
FC Volendam
🔄
51'
N. Bukala ↔ G. Yah
FC Volendam
🔄
52'
H. Veerman ↔ R. Muhren
FC Volendam
🔄
61'
K. van Oevelen ↔ R. Steur
FC Volendam
🔄
65'
L. Oyen ↔ L. Brouwers
Heerenveen
🔄
72'
J. Bacuna ↔ A. Oehlers
FC Volendam
🔄
76'
R. Meerveld ↔ L. Nordas
Heerenveen
🔄
78'
V. Zagaritis ↔ H. Petrov
Heerenveen
🟨
80'
Luuk Brouwers
Heerenveen
86'
D. Vente · Assist: J. Trenskow
Heerenveen
🟨
90+7'
Lasse Selvåg Nordås
Heerenveen
🔄
90+1'
D. Vente ↔ N. Courtens
Heerenveen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 22.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 16.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
22.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
16.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Volendam Win 35.4%
Draw 16.8%
Heerenveen Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Volendam1.3
Heerenveen1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Volendam FC Volendam
WWDLW
33 GF / 50 GA
Heerenveen Heerenveen
WLDWL
55 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.77
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
18
BTTS Yes
22
19
Over 2.5
24
3.68
Shots on Goal
5.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Volendam FC Volendam 31 matches
Heerenveen Heerenveen 31 matches
FC Volendam Statistic Heerenveen
8 Wins 13
7 Draws 8
16 Losses 10
33 Goals For 55
50 Goals Against 51
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
18 BTTS Yes 22
26 Over 1.5 30
19 Over 2.5 24
6 Over 3.5 13
3 Clean Sheets 3
11 Failed To Score 6
3.68 Shots On Goal 5.48
10.77 Total Shots 15.1
3.65 Corners 5.52
45% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Heerenveen's more proactive style and FC Volendam's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Heerenveen. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Heerenveen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 47 points while FC Volendam sit 15 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Volendam have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

FC Volendam Analysis

FC Volendam sit 15 with 31 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats with a 33:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Muhren (6 goals), B. Kuwas (5 goals), A. Oehlers (4 goals), with creative support from B. Kuwas (4 assists), D. Kwakman (4 assists), R. van Cruijsen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Heerenveen Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Heerenveen have collected 47 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 55:51 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Trenskow (12 goals), D. Vente (6 goals), L. Nordas (6 goals), with creative support from Joris van Overeem (9 assists), J. Trenskow (4 assists), L. Brouwers (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, FC Volendam won 1 times, Heerenveen won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:15 from FC Volendam's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Volendam 4-2-3-1 / Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Volendam 3, Heerenveen 4
H2H summary: FC Volendam wins 1, draws 1, Heerenveen wins 5
Stats
FC Volendam FC Volendam
Heerenveen Heerenveen
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
375 Total passes 394
273 Passes accurate 310
1.49 expected_goals 1.64
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Volendam
Formation
Heerenveen
K. van Oevelen
K. van Oevelen
P. Ugwu
P. Ugwu
M. Amevor
M. Amevor
N. Verschuren
N. Verschuren
Y. Leliendal
Y. Leliendal
J. Bacuna
J. Bacuna
N. Bukala
N. Bukala
B. Ould-Chikh
B. Ould-Chikh
O. Kokcu
O. Kokcu
A. Descotte
A. Descotte
H. Veerman
H. Veerman
B. Klaverboer
B. Klaverboer
O. Braude
O. Braude
S. Kersten
S. Kersten
M. Willemsen
M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis
🎯
V. Zagaritis
M. Linday
M. Linday
J. van Overeem
J. van Overeem
J. Trenskow
🎯
J. Trenskow
R. Meerveld
R. Meerveld
L. Oyen
L. Oyen
D. Vente
D. Vente
FC Volendam 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
K. van Oevelen
↓ 61'
G
5
P. Ugwu
🟨 6'
D
3
M. Amevor
D
20
N. Verschuren
D
32
Y. Leliendal
D
4
J. Bacuna
↓ 72' 🟨 11'
M
18
N. Bukala
↓ 51' 🟨 40'
M
77
B. Ould-Chikh
M
7
O. Kokcu
↓ 51'
M
99
A. Descotte
M
9
H. Veerman
↓ 52'
F
Substitutes
16
R. Steur
↑ 61'
G
14
A. Meijers
D
10
B. Kuwas
↑ 51'
F
2
D. Payne
D
11
A. Oehlers
↑ 72'
F
29
B. Pauwels
F
25
L. Blondeau
D
21
R. Muhren
↑ 52'
F
6
A. Plat
M
17
J. Ideho
F
8
G. Yah
↑ 51'
M
40
R. van Cruijsen
Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
B. Klaverboer
G
45
O. Braude
D
4
S. Kersten
D
3
M. Willemsen
D
19
V. Zagaritis
🎯 8' ↓ 78'
D
16
M. Linday
M
6
J. van Overeem
🟨 41'
M
20
J. Trenskow
🎯 86'
M
10
R. Meerveld
↓ 76'
M
11
L. Oyen
⚽ 8' ↓ 65'
M
9
D. Vente
⚽ 86' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Bekkema
G
31
N. Bakker
G
8
L. Brouwers
↑ 65' 🟨 80'
M
28
H. Petrov
↑ 78'
D
15
M. Egbring
D
36
N. Courtens
↑ 90+1'
M
38
I. Mulder
D
35
I. Ahmed
M
50
E. Gurbuz
F
18
L. Nordas
↑ 76' 🟨 90+7'
F
Last matches: FC Volendam
23.05.26
Eer
FC Volendam
Willem II
1
2
L
20.05.26
Eer
FC Volendam
Willem II
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Telstar
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Excelsior
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Heracles
2
0
W
10.04.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Twente
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
0
0
D
25.03.26
Fri
FC Volendam
Ajax
2
2
D
21.03.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ere
FC Volendam
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Groningen
3
2
W
21.02.26
Ere
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
0
1
L
13.02.26
Ere
FC Volendam
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
W
07.02.26
Ere
FC Volendam
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
FC Volendam
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Ajax
0
2
L
18.01.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Utrecht
2
1
W
10.01.26
Ere
FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
21.12.25
Ere
FC Volendam
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
Last matches: Heerenveen
21.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Ajax
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Heracles
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Telstar
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
15.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
4
2
W
11.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
3
1
W
07.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Twente
0
5
L
01.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Groningen
0
2
L
11.01.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Heracles
3
0
W
14.12.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
3
0
W
06.12.25
Ere
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
L
H2H: FC Volendam vs Heerenveen
03.05.26
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
0
2
L
09.08.25
H2H
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
1
1
D
25.02.24
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
0
4
L
16.12.23
H2H
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
1
2
W
08.04.23
H2H
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
2
1
L
11.01.23
H2H
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
2
0
L
23.10.22
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
1
3
L
Last matches: FC Volendam
23.05.26
Eer
FC Volendam
Willem II
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Telstar
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Groningen
3
2
W
13.02.26
Ere
FC Volendam
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
FC Volendam
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ere
FC Volendam
Utrecht
2
1
W
21.12.25
Ere
FC Volendam
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
07.12.25
Ere
FC Volendam
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
22.11.25
Ere
FC Volendam
Twente
1
1
D
08.11.25
Ere
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
2
1
W
25.10.25
Ere
FC Volendam
Heracles
3
0
W
27.09.25
Ere
FC Volendam
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
20.09.25
Ere
FC Volendam
Excelsior
1
2
L
30.08.25
Ere
FC Volendam
Ajax
1
1
D
17.08.25
Ere
FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
H2H at home: FC Volendam
03.05.26
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
0
2
L
25.02.24
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
0
4
L
23.10.22
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
1
3
L
Last matches: Heerenveen
21.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
2
3
L
11.05.26
Ere
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ere
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
07.03.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Excelsior
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
11.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
3
1
W
07.02.26
Ere
Heerenveen
Twente
0
5
L
20.12.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Heracles
3
0
W
14.12.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
3
0
W
28.11.25
Ere
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
1
2
L
08.11.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
0
2
L
01.11.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Ajax
1
1
D
19.10.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Telstar
3
2
W
28.09.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Utrecht
2
2
D
13.09.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
0
1
L
16.08.25
Ere
Heerenveen
Groningen
1
2
L
H2H away: Heerenveen
03.05.26
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
0
2
W
25.02.24
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
0
4
W
23.10.22
H2H
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
1
3
W

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie

Missing Players

FC Volendam 3 missing
-
D. Kwakman
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Esajas
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
G. Yah
Questionable Injury
OUT
Heerenveen 4 missing
-
L. Smans
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. van Axel Dongen
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
-
A. Noppert
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
M. Rivera
Questionable Injury
OUT