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11.10.2026 14:30
Rheinpark Stadion

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Vaduz Win 37.1%
Draw 7.3%
FC Basel 1893 Win 55.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Vaduz2.3
FC Basel 18931.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Vaduz FC Vaduz
WWDLW
39 GF / 31 GA
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
WLDWL
38 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
15
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
15
4.54
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 19 matches
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 18 matches
FC Vaduz Statistic FC Basel 1893
9 Wins 6
1 Draws 3
9 Losses 9
39 Goals For 38
31 Goals Against 48
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
15 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 15
16 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
4.54 Shots On Goal 3.78
9.85 Total Shots 11.67
3.77 Corners 3.89
47.5% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Vaduz expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and FC Basel 1893 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Basel 1893 having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Basel 1893. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Basel 1893 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 13 points while FC Vaduz sit 11 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

FC Vaduz Analysis

With 6 points from 9 games and a place of 11, FC Vaduz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 18:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Monsberger (4 goals), Juan Cabrera (4 goals), L. Dalipi (3 goals), with creative support from L. Dalipi (8 assists), N. Hasler (3 assists), M. Monsberger (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Basel 1893 Analysis

With 13 points from 9 games and a place of 4, FC Basel 1893 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 17:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Ž. Celar (6 goals), X. Shaqiri (3 goals), Asane Sow (2 goals), with creative support from K. Olaigbe (4 assists), Asane Sow (2 assists), A. Sow (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, FC Vaduz won 2 times, FC Basel 1893 won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from FC Vaduz's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.9 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Vaduz 4-3-1-2 / FC Basel 1893 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Vaduz wins 2, draws 4, FC Basel 1893 wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 27:7 20 25
W W D W W
2 9 5 4 0 31:18 13 19
W D D W D
3 9 6 1 2 23:14 9 19
D W W W W
4 9 4 1 4 17:17 0 13
L W L L D
5 9 4 1 4 16:19 -3 13
W L L W L
6 9 3 3 3 17:18 -1 12
W L D W D
7 9 3 2 4 14:20 -6 11
D W D L W
8 9 3 1 5 11:13 -2 10
L W W L L
9 9 3 1 5 15:23 -8 10
W L L L D
10 9 2 2 5 13:24 -11 8
L L W D W
11 9 2 0 7 18:21 -3 6
L L W L W
12 9 1 3 5 7:15 -8 6
L L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs