JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
24.04.2026 10:00
Ajinomoto Stadium
Referee: A. Kamimura
FC Tokyo
Match Timeline
Mito Hollyhock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Danilo Cardoso · Assist: M. Arai
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
35'
Marcelo Ryan · Assist: A. Scholz
FC Tokyo
🟨
40'
Takumi Mase
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
43'
K. Sato
FC Tokyo
🟨
45+3'
Danilo Cardoso
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
45'
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
🔄
46'
K. Endo ↔ T. Nakagawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
46'
M. Arai ↔ H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
55'
A. Watanabe ↔ R. Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
56'
T. Mase ↔ S. Omori
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
68'
S. Muroya
FC Tokyo
🔄
69'
Matheus Leiria ↔ K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
70'
A. Scholz ↔ R. Omori
FC Tokyo
⚽
70'
K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
74'
R. Sato · Assist: Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
🔄
76'
T. Semba ↔ Y. Yamashita
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
83'
K. Sato ↔ F. Yamada
FC Tokyo
🔄
83'
Marcelo Ryan ↔ L. Nozawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
88'
H. Inamura ↔ M. Morishige
FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.8%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Tokyo Win 61.6%
Draw 12.8%
Mito Hollyhock Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Tokyo1.67
Mito Hollyhock1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
WWDLW
20 GF / 11 GA
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WLDWL
14 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
5
4.82
Shots on Goal
3.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 matches
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 matches
FC Tokyo Statistic Mito Hollyhock
6 Wins 2
5 Draws 6
1 Losses 4
20 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 20
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
7 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
4.82 Shots On Goal 3.45
14 Total Shots 11.55
4.73 Corners 3.73
53.2% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, FC Tokyo won 2 times, Mito Hollyhock won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from FC Tokyo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Tokyo 4-4-2 / Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
H2H summary: FC Tokyo wins 2, draws 1, Mito Hollyhock wins 1

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)