Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
24.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
22.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Tokyo
20 matches
Cerezo Osaka
20 matches
| FC Tokyo | Statistic | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 6 |
| 34 | Goals For | 29 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.37 | Shots On Goal | 4.37 |
| 15.47 | Total Shots | 11.47 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 4.84 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cerezo Osaka. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cerezo Osaka look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Tokyo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cerezo Osaka in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerezo Osaka having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
FC Tokyo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 37 points after 18 matches. The return of 13 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 32:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Marcelo Ryan (6 goals), Kein Sato (5 goals), Ryunosuke Sato (5 goals), with creative support from Marcelo Ryan (4 assists), Kein Sato (4 assists), K. Hashimoto (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Cerezo Osaka come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 31 points after 18 matches. With 11 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:21, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Sakuragawa (6 goals), Thiago Andrade (6 goals), Shunta Tanaka (4 goals), with creative support from M. Shibayama (5 assists), Motohiko Nakajima (4 assists), Nelson Ishiwatari (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Tokyo won 7 times, Cerezo Osaka won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from FC Tokyo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Urawa
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
Urawa
FC Tokyo
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Urawa
FC Tokyo
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 20 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
FC Tokyo
Home
|
18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 |
Cerezo Osaka
Away
|
18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | -3 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 12 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
W
|