JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
06.06.2026 05:00
Ajinomoto Stadium
Referee: M. Ueda
FC Tokyo
Match Timeline
Cerezo Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
8'
Kein Sato
FC Tokyo
10'
S. Homma · Assist: M. Shibayama
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
29'
K. Sato ↔ L. Nozawa
FC Tokyo
35'
S. Sakuragawa
Cerezo Osaka
43'
S. Sakuragawa · Assist: M. Shibayama
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
60'
K. Noborizato ↔ A. Ohata
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
61'
Marcelo Ryan ↔ F. Yamada
FC Tokyo
🔄
61'
K. Endo ↔ K. Tawaratsumida
FC Tokyo
62'
R. Sato · Assist: L. Nozawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
66'
S. Sakuragawa ↔ Thiago Andrade
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
67'
S. Kagawa ↔ K. Yoshino
Cerezo Osaka
🟨
69'
Masaya Shibayama
Cerezo Osaka
🟨
73'
Kento Hashimoto
FC Tokyo
🔄
76'
K. Tokiwa ↔ T. Ogashiwa
FC Tokyo
🔄
76'
K. Koizumi ↔ K. Higashi
FC Tokyo
🔄
79'
S. Homma ↔ T. Nakamura
Cerezo Osaka
🔄
79'
M. Nakajima ↔ S. Uejo
Cerezo Osaka
🟨
89'
Dion Cools
Cerezo Osaka
VAR
90+5'
Fuki Yamada
FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Tokyo Win 45.3%
Draw 21.5%
Cerezo Osaka Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Tokyo1.48
Cerezo Osaka1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
WWDLW
34 GF / 21 GA
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
WLDWL
29 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
11
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
11
5.37
Shots on Goal
4.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 20 matches
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 20 matches
FC Tokyo Statistic Cerezo Osaka
10 Wins 7
7 Draws 7
3 Losses 6
34 Goals For 29
21 Goals Against 23
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
11 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
5.37 Shots On Goal 4.37
15.47 Total Shots 11.47
5.11 Corners 4.84
52.4% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Tokyo won 6 times, Cerezo Osaka won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:19 from FC Tokyo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Tokyo 4-4-2 / Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Tokyo wins 6, draws 6, Cerezo Osaka wins 3

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)