SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 16:00
Stockhorn Arena

FC Thun vs Grasshoppers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.81
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.46
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
1.81
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.46
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.5%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
FC Thun Win 72.1%
Draw 17%
Grasshoppers Win 10.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Thun2.32
Grasshoppers1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Thun FC Thun
WWDLW
40 GF / 39 GA
Grasshoppers Grasshoppers
WLDWL
19 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.35
Average Goals Scored
1.73
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
2.27
12
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
9
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Thun FC Thun 17 matches
Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 11 matches
FC Thun Statistic Grasshoppers
6 Wins 3
4 Draws 2
7 Losses 6
40 Goals For 19
39 Goals Against 25
2.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 2.27
12 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 9
12 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.67
9.25 Total Shots 15.5
4.25 Corners 5.67
39.9% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Grasshoppers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Thun expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Grasshoppers in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grasshoppers having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Grasshoppers. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Thun arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 7 points compared to Grasshoppers in 11 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Thun Analysis

So far, FC Thun have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Labeau (3 goals), F. Dursun (1 goals), N. Reichmuth (1 goals), with creative support from F. Dursun (2 assists), F. Saiz (1 assists), D. Derbaci (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Grasshoppers Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 11, Grasshoppers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Abrashi (2 goals), Lee Young-Jun (2 goals), N. Muci (1 goals), with creative support from A. Abrashi (1 assists), N. Muci (1 assists), S. Stroscio (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Thun won 5 times, Grasshoppers won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from FC Thun's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.1%)
Predicted formations: FC Thun 4-4-2 / Grasshoppers 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Thun wins 5, draws 6, Grasshoppers wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 17:4 13 18
W W W W W
2 7 4 3 0 26:14 12 15
D W D W D
3 6 4 0 2 14:11 3 12
W W L W W
4 6 3 1 2 12:11 1 10
W L L D W
5 7 3 1 3 12:12 0 10
L L D W W
6 7 2 3 2 10:13 -3 9
D W D W D
7 6 2 1 3 11:17 -6 7
L D W L L
8 7 2 1 4 11:18 -7 7
D L W L L
9 7 2 0 5 16:17 -1 6
W L W L L
10 7 1 3 3 7:10 -3 6
L D L L D
11 6 1 2 3 9:14 -5 5
D W L L L
12 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs