Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
FC Thun Win 0%
Draw 0%
FC Lugano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Thun2.08
FC Lugano2.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Thun
WWDLW
32 GF / 24 GA
FC Lugano
WLDWL
34 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
2.27
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
9
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
3.57
Shots on Goal
7.71
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Thun
12 matches
FC Lugano
15 matches
| FC Thun | Statistic | FC Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 9 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 32 | Goals For | 34 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.27 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.57 | Shots On Goal | 7.71 |
| 9.57 | Total Shots | 19.71 |
| 4.43 | Corners | 6.86 |
| 36.4% | Ball Possession | 61.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Thun won 4 times, FC Lugano won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from FC Thun's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: FC Thun 4-4-2 / FC Lugano 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: FC Thun wins 4, draws 4, FC Lugano wins 7
Last matches: FC Thun
13.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
09.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
2
4
L
06.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
0
6
L
28.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
2
3
L
25.07.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Luzern
3
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Neuchatel Xamax FC
6
2
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
14.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
3
8
L
10.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Sion
0
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
1
3
L
25.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
3
1
W
04.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
21.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Zurich
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
5
1
W
08.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
Last matches: FC Lugano
13.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
2
D
09.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
5
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
0
W
02.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
4
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
5
1
W
26.07.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
1. FC Heidenheim
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Memmingen
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
4
0
W
14.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Sion
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Taverne
1
3
L
H2H: FC Thun vs FC Lugano
25.04.26
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
04.04.26
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
L
22.11.25
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
27.07.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
2
W
10.02.22
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
3
4
L
15.07.20
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
1
D
09.02.20
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
3
2
W
24.11.19
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
3
L
28.07.19
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Thun
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
1
0
W
06.02.19
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
3
W
28.10.18
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Thun
2
1
L
26.08.18
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
1
1
D
14.04.18
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
1
D
16.12.17
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
2
L
Last matches: FC Thun
06.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
0
6
L
21.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Neuchatel Xamax FC
6
2
W
14.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
3
8
L
25.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
3
1
W
14.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
5
1
W
05.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
2
2
D
28.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Luzern
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Sion
1
0
W
12.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
Lausanne
5
1
W
25.01.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
4
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
FC Thun
FC WIL 1900
7
1
W
07.01.26
Fri
FC Thun
Rapperswil
4
0
W
20.12.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC Zurich
4
2
W
13.12.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
0
2
L
06.12.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC Luzern
4
1
W
H2H at home: FC Thun
25.04.26
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
10.02.22
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
3
4
L
09.02.20
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
3
2
W
24.11.19
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
3
L
11.05.19
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
1
0
W
26.08.18
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
1
1
D
16.12.17
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
2
L
Last matches: FC Lugano
13.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
2
D
02.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
4
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
5
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
1. FC Heidenheim
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Memmingen
4
0
W
14.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Sion
2
2
D
25.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
1
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
1
1
D
17.03.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
01.03.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
1
1
D
07.02.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Winterthur
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
1
1
D
17.01.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
5
2
W
17.12.25
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
1
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
FC Lugano
Lausanne
0
0
D
22.11.25
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
1
0
W
26.10.25
Sup
FC Lugano
Servette FC
1
2
L
H2H away: FC Lugano
25.04.26
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
W
10.02.22
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
3
4
W
09.02.20
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
3
2
L
24.11.19
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
3
W
11.05.19
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
1
0
L
26.08.18
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
1
1
D
16.12.17
H2H
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
2
W
Standings
Super League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
Away
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
FC Thun
Home
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs