GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
27.01.2026 19:30
Millerntor-Stadion
Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
FC St. Pauli
Match Timeline
RB Leipzig
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
49'
Christoph Baumgartner
RB Leipzig
🔄
64'
Romulo Cardoso ↔ C. Harder
RB Leipzig
⚽
66'
Y. Diomande
RB Leipzig
🔄
67'
R. Jones ↔ M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli
🔄
76'
J. Fujita ↔ M. Rasmussen
FC St. Pauli
🔄
76'
J. Sands ↔ J. Irvine
FC St. Pauli
🔄
76'
D. Sinani ↔ M. Pereira Lage
FC St. Pauli
🔄
85'
C. Baumgartner ↔ E. Banzuzi
RB Leipzig
🔄
85'
A. Nusa ↔ T. Gomis
RB Leipzig
🔄
88'
M. Saliakas ↔ A. Ceesay
FC St. Pauli
🔄
90+4'
Y. Diomande ↔ B. Henrichs
RB Leipzig
⚽
90'
M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
FC St. Pauli Win 0%
Draw 0%
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC St. Pauli1.07
RB Leipzig1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WWDLW
16 GF / 31 GA
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WLDWL
36 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
2
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
9
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
11
3.5
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 18 matches
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 18 matches
FC St. Pauli Statistic RB Leipzig
3 Wins 11
4 Draws 2
11 Losses 5
16 Goals For 36
31 Goals Against 24
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
9 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 2
3.5 Shots On Goal 5.83
10.22 Total Shots 16.33
5 Corners 5.56
46.2% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, FC St. Pauli won 3 times, RB Leipzig won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from FC St. Pauli's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1 / RB Leipzig 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC St. Pauli wins 3, draws 2, RB Leipzig wins 4

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
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Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation