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01.11.2026 12:30
Millerntor-Stadion
Referee: Robert Hartmann
FC St. Pauli
Match Timeline
1. FC Nürnberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
Eric Smith
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
55'
Eric Porstner
1. FC Nürnberg
⚽
58'
Abdoulie Ceesay · Assist: Arkadiusz Pyrka
FC St. Pauli
🔄
58'
Mathias Rasmussen ↔ Samuel Klein
FC St. Pauli
🔄
65'
Piet Scobel ↔ Sigurd Haugen
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
65'
Rayan Ghrieb ↔ William Bøving
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
68'
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
70'
Sigurd Haugen
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
71'
Branimir Hrgota ↔ Martijn Kaars
FC St. Pauli
⚽
71'
Sigurd Haugen
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
74'
Julian Justvan ↔ Giannis Masouras
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
78'
Joel Chima Fujita
FC St. Pauli
🟨
80'
Rafael Lubach
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
81'
Lars Ritzka ↔ Youssoupha Niang
FC St. Pauli
🔄
84'
Rafael Lubach ↔ Marc Kornwachs Barjuan
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
84'
Tim Janisch ↔ Styopa Mkrtchyan
1. FC Nürnberg
⚽
90'
Marc Kornwachs Barjuan · Assist: Eric Porstner
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
90+3'
David Nemeth
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.8%
1.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
45.9%
1.68 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
21.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC St. Pauli Win 37.7%
Draw 26.1%
1. FC Nürnberg Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC St. Pauli1.56
1. FC Nürnberg2.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
D D W D D
5 GF / 3 GA
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
L D D W W
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
3.07
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
13
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
12
4.89
Shots on Goal
6.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 17 matches
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 15 matches
FC St. Pauli Statistic 1. FC Nürnberg
6 Wins 10
9 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
30 Goals For 46
21 Goals Against 19
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 3.07
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
13 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
4.89 Shots On Goal 6.78
14.56 Total Shots 18.89
5.67 Corners 6.11
49.6% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC St. Pauli won 9 times, 1. FC Nürnberg won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:12 from FC St. Pauli's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.9%)
Predicted formations: FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2 / 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC St. Pauli wins 9, draws 5, 1. FC Nürnberg wins 1

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 23:8 15 28
W W D W W
2 11 7 3 1 26:13 13 24
W W L D D
3 11 6 3 2 10:7 3 21
W L W W D
4 10 5 4 1 25:14 11 19
W D W D W
5 10 5 2 3 21:13 8 17
D W L W D
6 11 5 2 4 18:16 2 17
W W L W W
7 10 4 3 3 17:18 -1 15
L D L D D
8 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D W D
9 11 3 3 5 13:19 -6 12
L W L W L
10 11 2 5 4 18:20 -2 11
D L D D L
11 11 3 2 6 16:18 -2 11
D L W L W
12 10 3 2 5 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
13 11 3 2 6 14:18 -4 11
L L W L D
14 11 3 2 6 15:20 -5 11
W L L W D
15 10 3 2 5 10:16 -6 11
W L D L W
16 10 3 2 5 13:21 -8 11
W L W L L
17 11 2 3 6 9:21 -12 9
L D D L W
18 11 1 5 5 11:14 -3 8
L L W D L
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