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11.10.2026 14:30
Kybunpark

FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC ST. Gallen Win 55.5%
Draw 21.7%
Lausanne Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC ST. Gallen1.69
Lausanne1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
WWDLW
37 GF / 43 GA
Lausanne Lausanne
WLDWL
30 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.67
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
13
BTTS Yes
7
16
Over 2.5
11
6
Shots on Goal
2.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 20 matches
Lausanne Lausanne 18 matches
FC ST. Gallen Statistic Lausanne
10 Wins 7
1 Draws 3
9 Losses 8
37 Goals For 30
43 Goals Against 26
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
13 BTTS Yes 7
18 Over 1.5 13
16 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 6
6 Shots On Goal 2.89
18.33 Total Shots 9.11
5.93 Corners 4.22
45.1% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lausanne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC ST. Gallen expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Lausanne in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lausanne having the stronger overall control. FC ST. Gallen arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 13 points compared to Lausanne in 12 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC ST. Gallen Analysis

With 13 points from 9 games and a place of 5, FC ST. Gallen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 16:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Balde (3 goals), E. Owusu (2 goals), L. Daschner (2 goals), with creative support from C. Okoroji (3 assists), A. Balde (1 assists), E. Owusu (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lausanne Analysis

With 6 points from 9 games and a place of 12, Lausanne still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 7:15 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Mollet (2 goals), Omar Janneh (1 goals), N. Butler-Oyedeji (1 goals), with creative support from F. Mollet (1 assists), Omar Janneh (1 assists), K. Sow (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC ST. Gallen won 10 times, Lausanne won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:20 from FC ST. Gallen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
Predicted formations: FC ST. Gallen 3-1-4-2 / Lausanne 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC ST. Gallen wins 10, draws 2, Lausanne wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 27:7 20 25
W W D W W
2 9 5 4 0 31:18 13 19
W D D W D
3 9 6 1 2 23:14 9 19
D W W W W
4 9 4 1 4 17:17 0 13
L W L L D
5 9 4 1 4 16:19 -3 13
W L L W L
6 9 3 3 3 17:18 -1 12
W L D W D
7 9 3 2 4 14:20 -6 11
D W D L W
8 9 3 1 5 11:13 -2 10
L W W L L
9 9 3 1 5 15:23 -8 10
W L L L D
10 9 2 2 5 13:24 -11 8
L L W D W
11 9 2 0 7 18:21 -3 6
L L W L W
12 9 1 3 5 7:15 -8 6
L L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs