RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Fisht Olympic Stadium
Referee: V. Moskalev
FC Sochi
Match Timeline
Krylia Sovetov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
I. Oleynikov · Assist: I. Akhmetov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
37'
Sergey Pesyakov
Krylia Sovetov
VAR
45+2'
Amar Rahmanovic
Krylia Sovetov
48'
Marcelo Alves
FC Sochi
🟨
60'
Kirill Pechenin
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
61'
Vyacheslav Litvinov
FC Sochi
🟨
63'
Sergey Babkin
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
63'
K. Kravtsov ↔ D. Vasiljev
FC Sochi
🔄
64'
R. Ezhov ↔ G. Furtado
FC Sochi
🔄
64'
V. Iljin ↔ Z. Fedorov
FC Sochi
🔄
72'
N. Rasskazov ↔ I. Lepskii
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
76'
Roman Evgenjev
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
77'
M. Ignatov ↔ F. Kamano
FC Sochi
🔄
81'
I. Akhmetov ↔ K. Stolbov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
82'
Sergey Babkin
Krylia Sovetov
🟥
82'
Sergey Babkin
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
82'
M. Mukhin ↔ A. Zinkovskiy
FC Sochi
🔄
86'
M. Vityugov ↔ T. Galdames
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
86'
A. Rahmanovic ↔ A. Shumansky
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
90+9'
Marcelo Alves
FC Sochi
🟨
90+9'
Ivan Oleynikov
Krylia Sovetov
🟥
90+7'
Thomas Galdames
Krylia Sovetov
VAR
90+6'
Thomas Galdames
Krylia Sovetov
90'
Marcelo Alves · Assist: A. Zinkovskiy
FC Sochi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
57.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60%
-
Probability Distribution
FC Sochi Win 30.4%
Draw 26.8%
Krylia Sovetov Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Sochi1.25
Krylia Sovetov1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Sochi FC Sochi
WWDLW
22 GF / 53 GA
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
WLDWL
26 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.04
2.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
13
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
11
2.72
Shots on Goal
2.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Sochi FC Sochi 25 matches
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 25 matches
FC Sochi Statistic Krylia Sovetov
4 Wins 5
3 Draws 8
18 Losses 12
22 Goals For 26
53 Goals Against 45
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
2.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
13 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 9
2.72 Shots On Goal 2.72
8.28 Total Shots 8.4
3.36 Corners 3.88
46% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Sochi expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Krylia Sovetov in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Krylia Sovetov having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Krylia Sovetov. FC Sochi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

FC Sochi Analysis

FC Sochi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 15 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 21:53 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mikhail Ignatov (4 goals), Anton Zinkovskiy (3 goals), Ignacio Saavedra (3 goals), with creative support from Ruslan Magal (2 assists), Mikhail Ignatov (1 assists), Anton Zinkovskiy (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with K. Zaika, N. Stojic, M. Ignatov unavailable.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

So far, Krylia Sovetov have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 25:44 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by V. Rakov (5 goals), V. Ignatenko (4 goals), A. Rahmanovic (3 goals), with creative support from Ilzat Akhmetov (5 assists), N. Rasskazov (4 assists), V. Rakov (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Sutormin, C. Geoffrey, M. Banjac, S. Bozhin, N. Chernov unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Sochi won 1 times, Krylia Sovetov won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:26 from FC Sochi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Sochi 3-4-3 / Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Sochi 4, Krylia Sovetov 5
H2H summary: FC Sochi wins 1, draws 3, Krylia Sovetov wins 10
Stats
FC Sochi FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 5
13 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
484 Total passes 369
400 Passes accurate 299
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

FC Sochi
Formation
Krylia Sovetov
A. Degtev
A. Degtev
A. Soldatenkov
A. Soldatenkov
Marcelo Alves
⚽ 2
Marcelo Alves
V. Litvinov
V. Litvinov
R. Magal
R. Magal
M. Mukhin
M. Mukhin
K. Kravtsov
K. Kravtsov
A. Makarchuk
A. Makarchuk
R. Ezhov
R. Ezhov
V. Iljin
V. Iljin
M. Ignatov
M. Ignatov
S. Pesjakov
S. Pesjakov
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza
D. Oroz
D. Oroz
R. Evgenyev
R. Evgenyev
K. Pechenin
K. Pechenin
M. Vityugov
M. Vityugov
S. Babkin
S. Babkin
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov
I. Akhmetov
🎯
I. Akhmetov
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov
A. Rahmanovic
A. Rahmanovic
FC Sochi 3-4-3
Starting XI
35
A. Degtev
G
3
A. Soldatenkov
D
33
Marcelo Alves
⚽ 48' ⚽ 90' 🟨 90+9'
D
4
V. Litvinov
🟨 61'
D
28
R. Magal
M
16
M. Mukhin
↓ 82'
M
14
K. Kravtsov
↓ 63'
M
17
A. Makarchuk
M
29
R. Ezhov
↓ 64'
F
98
V. Iljin
↓ 64'
F
8
M. Ignatov
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
99
Y. Dyupin
G
85
D. Silev
G
45
F. Kamano
↑ 77'
F
7
A. Zinkovskiy
🎯 90' ↑ 82'
M
59
R. Bart
F
66
A. Metsiev
M
82
S. Volkov
D
23
G. Furtado
↑ 64'
M
9
Z. Fedorov
↑ 64'
F
20
D. Vasiljev
↑ 63'
M
11
P. Meleshin
F
18
A. Korneev
M
Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
S. Pesjakov
🟨 37'
G
22
Fernando Costanza
D
5
D. Oroz
D
24
R. Evgenyev
🟨 76'
D
2
K. Pechenin
🟨 60'
D
8
M. Vityugov
↓ 86'
M
6
S. Babkin
🟨 63' 🟨 82' 🟥 82'
M
15
N. Rasskazov
↓ 72'
M
77
I. Akhmetov
🎯 16' ↓ 81'
M
19
I. Oleynikov
⚽ 16' 🟨 90+9'
M
11
A. Rahmanovic
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
80
N. Kokarev
G
39
E. Frolov
G
26
J. Marin
M
10
V. Khubulov
M
20
K. Stolbov
↑ 81'
M
18
I. Lepskii
↑ 72'
D
31
G. Requena
D
91
V. Ignatenko
F
9
A. Sutormin
M
3
T. Galdames
↑ 86' 🟥 90+7'
D
70
A. Shumansky
↑ 86'
F
Last matches: FC Sochi
17.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Akhmat
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Zenit
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Dynamo
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Rubin
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Baltika
0
4
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
02.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Bars
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Aktobe
3
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Fakel
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Struga
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Sloga Doboj
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Tyumen
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Lokomotiv
2
4
L
Last matches: Krylia Sovetov
17.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akron
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Rubin
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
0
3
L
08.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dynamo
0
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chayka
5
3
W
17.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chelyabinsk
3
2
W
09.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
KAMAZ
0
1
L
09.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Ozgon
3
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Torpedo Moskva
2
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
23.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
2
0
W
H2H: FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov
21.04.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
01.10.25
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
FC Sochi
3
3
D
14.09.25
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
FC Sochi
2
0
L
13.08.25
H2H
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
02.12.23
H2H
PFC Sochi
Krylya Sovetov
0
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
PFC Sochi
2
1
L
09.04.23
H2H
PFC Sochi
Krylya Sovetov
1
2
W
16.10.22
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
PFC Sochi
2
0
L
20.03.22
H2H
PFC Sochi
Krylya Sovetov
2
3
W
21.08.21
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
PFC Sochi
1
0
L
22.07.20
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
PFC Sochi
0
0
D
05.10.19
H2H
PFC Sochi
Krylya Sovetov
0
2
W
04.03.18
H2H
PFC Sochi
Krylya Sovetov
1
3
W
13.08.17
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
PFC Sochi
2
0
L
Last matches: FC Sochi
17.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Akhmat
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Rubin
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
02.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Bars
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Aktobe
3
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Fakel
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Struga
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Sloga Doboj
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Tyumen
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Lokomotiv
2
4
L
01.12.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Zenit
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
22.09.25
Pre
FC Sochi
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
24.08.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Baltika
0
2
L
H2H at home: FC Sochi
21.04.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
13.08.25
H2H
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
Last matches: Krylia Sovetov
10.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dynamo
0
4
L
20.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chayka
5
3
W
17.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chelyabinsk
3
2
W
07.12.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
01.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Rubin
0
2
L
21.09.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
31.08.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
16.08.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
1
3
L
02.08.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
4
1
W
19.07.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akron
1
1
D
H2H away: Krylia Sovetov
21.04.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
L
13.08.25
H2H
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

FC Sochi 4 missing
-
K. Zaika
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
N. Stojic
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
M. Ignatov
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Chirkov
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Krylia Sovetov 5 missing
-
A. Sutormin
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
C. Geoffrey
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Banjac
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
S. Bozhin
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
N. Chernov
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT