Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Sochi
27 matches
FC Orenburg
27 matches
| FC Sochi | Statistic | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 19 | Losses | 13 |
| 24 | Goals For | 27 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 2.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 2.78 | Shots On Goal | 3.89 |
| 8.78 | Total Shots | 12.19 |
| 3.56 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Orenburg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Sochi expected to line up in 3-4-3 and FC Orenburg in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Orenburg having the stronger overall control.
FC Sochi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 18 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 24:56 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mikhail Ignatov (4 goals), Anton Zinkovskiy (3 goals), Ignacio Saavedra (3 goals), with creative support from Anton Zinkovskiy (2 assists), Ruslan Magal (2 assists), Mikhail Ignatov (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 27 matches, FC Orenburg have collected 26 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 27:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Thompson (5 goals), E. Gurluk (4 goals), M. Savelyev (3 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (4 assists), E. Gurluk (1 assists), Du Queiroz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, FC Sochi won 2 times, FC Orenburg won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:28 from FC Sochi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.
FC Sochi
5
3
6
6
3
5
Lineups
FC Sochi
Torpedo Moskva
FC Sochi
Ska-khabarovsk
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
Akhmat
FC Sochi
Zenit
FC Sochi
Dynamo
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
Rubin
FC Sochi
Baltika
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
Bars
FC Sochi
Aktobe
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Sochi
Fakel
FC Sochi
Struga
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
FK Neftekhimik
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Akron
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Kairat Almaty
FC Orenburg
Alashkert
FC Orenburg
Bunyodkor
FC Orenburg
Mornar
FC Sochi
Torpedo Moskva
FC Sochi
Ska-khabarovsk
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
Akhmat
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
FC Sochi
Rubin
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
FC Sochi
Bars
FC Sochi
Aktobe
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Sochi
Fakel
FC Sochi
Struga
FC Sochi
Sloga Doboj
FC Sochi
Tyumen
FC Sochi
Lokomotiv
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Akron
FC Orenburg
Baltika
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Orenburg
Away
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
FC Sochi
Home
|
30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|