Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FC Sochi Win 35.4%
Draw 15.3%
Arsenal Tula Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Sochi2.25
Arsenal Tula1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Sochi
WWDLW
18 GF / 15 GA
Arsenal Tula
WLDWL
15 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
6
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Sochi
8 matches
Arsenal Tula
8 matches
| FC Sochi | Statistic | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 4 |
| 18 | Goals For | 15 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.25 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, FC Sochi won 5 times, Arsenal Tula won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:12 from FC Sochi's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Sochi 3-4-3 / Arsenal Tula -
H2H summary: FC Sochi wins 5, draws 3, Arsenal Tula wins 2
Lineups
FC Sochi
Formation
Arsenal Tula
A. Degtev
K. Zaika
A. Soldatenkov
V. Litvinov
A. Makarchuk
Y. Attiyat Allah
A. Osipov
M. Kuzmin
R. Ezhov
Z. Fedorov
M. Ignatov
A. Melikhov
D. Plotnikov
K. Gotsuk
K. Bolshakov
D. Penchikov
Kozlov
N. Razdorskikh
I. Enin
I. Gorbunov
I. Zhigulev
R. Magomedov
FC Sochi
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
35
A. Degtev
27
K. Zaika
3
A. Soldatenkov
4
V. Litvinov
17
A. Makarchuk
25
Y. Attiyat Allah
34
A. Osipov
6
M. Kuzmin
29
R. Ezhov
9
Z. Fedorov
8
M. Ignatov
Substitutes
85
D. Silev
38
S. Topinka
69
D. Anosov
60
M. Nosatiy
37
M. Chirkov
18
M. Kaynov
59
R. Bart
66
A. Metsiev
R. Pasevich
11
P. Meleshin
O. Kozhemyakin
Arsenal Tula
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
42
A. Melikhov
77
D. Plotnikov
5
K. Gotsuk
31
K. Bolshakov
4
D. Penchikov
48
Kozlov
21
N. Razdorskikh
25
I. Enin
10
I. Gorbunov
24
I. Zhigulev
11
R. Magomedov
Substitutes
Biryukov
D. Gusarov
14
M. Brnovic
Samkin
7
E. Reyes
44
O. Isaenko
Alekhin
45
N. Karmaev
16
Y. Krashevskiy
17
M. Ahlinvi
56
A. Kolyshev
Efremov
Last matches: FC Sochi
03.07.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Torpedo Moskva
0
3
L
30.06.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Ska-khabarovsk
4
2
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Akhmat
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Zenit
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Dynamo
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Rubin
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Baltika
0
4
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
02.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Bars
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Aktobe
3
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Fakel
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Struga
2
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal Tula
04.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Spartak Kostroma
1
1
D
17.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Volga Ulyanovsk
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Atyrau
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Chayka
4
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Rodina Moskva II
1
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Volgar Astrakhan
5
3
W
02.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
4
L
29.01.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Nasaf
0
1
L
H2H: FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula
26.07.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
5
0
W
26.06.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
3
3
D
03.05.25
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
5
1
W
13.10.24
H2H
Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
1
1
D
26.02.22
H2H
PFC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
2
0
L
31.10.21
H2H
Arsenal Tula
PFC Sochi
1
2
W
27.02.21
H2H
PFC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
4
0
L
20.09.20
H2H
Arsenal Tula
PFC Sochi
3
2
L
01.03.20
H2H
PFC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
1
2
W
20.10.19
H2H
Arsenal Tula
PFC Sochi
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Sochi
03.07.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Torpedo Moskva
0
3
L
30.06.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Ska-khabarovsk
4
2
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Akhmat
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
21.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Rubin
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
02.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Bars
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Aktobe
3
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Fakel
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Struga
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Sloga Doboj
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Tyumen
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Lokomotiv
2
4
L
01.12.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Zenit
0
3
L
H2H at home: FC Sochi
26.07.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
5
0
W
26.06.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
3
3
D
03.05.25
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
5
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal Tula
04.07.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Chayka
4
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tula
Volgar Astrakhan
5
3
W
H2H away: Arsenal Tula
26.07.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
5
0
L
26.06.26
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
3
3
D
03.05.25
H2H
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
5
1
L
26.02.22
H2H
PFC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
2
0
L
27.02.21
H2H
PFC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
4
0
L
01.03.20
H2H
PFC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
1
2
W