GERMANY 3. LIGA
02.05.2026 12:00
Ludwigspark Stadion
Referee: L. Benen
FC Saarbrücken
Match Timeline
Waldhof Mannheim
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Terrence Boyd
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
19'
N. Bretschneider ↔ C. Rizzuto
FC Saarbrücken
23'
K. Brunker · Assist: T. Civeja
FC Saarbrücken
🟨
45'
Sebastian Vasiliadis
FC Saarbrücken
🟨
53'
Oluwaseun Ogbemudia
Waldhof Mannheim
55'
F. Pick
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
60'
L. Bierschenk ↔ E. Iwe
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
60'
D. Michel ↔ Masca
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
70'
T. Boyd ↔ N. X. Muteba NTumba
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
73'
S. Vasiliadis ↔ S. Sonnenberg
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
74'
M. Multhaup ↔ R. Elongo-Yombo
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
74'
K. Brunker ↔ A. Naifi
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
83'
T. Civeja ↔ E. Krahn
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
83'
J. Sietan ↔ J. Rieckmann
Waldhof Mannheim
🔄
83'
F. Lohkemper ↔ D. Kryeziu
Waldhof Mannheim
🟨
84'
Amine Naïfi
FC Saarbrücken
🟨
88'
Denis Kryeziu
Waldhof Mannheim

FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
37.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Saarbrücken Win 65.8%
Draw 6.2%
Waldhof Mannheim Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Saarbrücken1.5
Waldhof Mannheim1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken
WWDLW
44 GF / 50 GA
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim
WLDWL
57 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
22
BTTS Yes
25
15
Over 2.5
25
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 35 matches
Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 35 matches
FC Saarbrücken Statistic Waldhof Mannheim
9 Wins 14
14 Draws 7
12 Losses 14
44 Goals For 57
50 Goals Against 65
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
22 BTTS Yes 25
30 Over 1.5 31
15 Over 2.5 25
9 Over 3.5 17
6 Clean Sheets 3
10 Failed To Score 7
4.1 Shots On Goal 3.76
12.24 Total Shots 10.93
6.76 Corners 4.34
41.1% Ball Possession 40%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Waldhof Mannheim.

FC Saarbrücken Analysis

FC Saarbrücken sit 15 with 41 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 14 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 44:50, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Pick (13 goals), K. Brunker (9 goals), M. Multhaup (3 goals), with creative support from F. Pick (7 assists), R. Elongo-Yombo (6 assists), T. Civeja (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Naïfi unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Waldhof Mannheim Analysis

Waldhof Mannheim are currently 10 in the standings with 49 points from 35 matches. The record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 57:65 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Lohkemper (16 goals), T. Boyd (11 goals), K. Okpala (7 goals), with creative support from A. Ferati (8 assists), Niklas Hoffmann (4 assists), J. Rieckmann (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, FC Saarbrücken won 6 times, Waldhof Mannheim won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from FC Saarbrücken's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Saarbrücken 4-2-3-1 / Waldhof Mannheim 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Saarbrücken 1, Waldhof Mannheim 0
H2H summary: FC Saarbrücken wins 6, draws 2, Waldhof Mannheim wins 4

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation