RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Rostov Arena
Referee: S. Karasev
FC Rostov
Match Timeline
Zenit
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Mohammad Mohebi
FC Rostov
VAR
12'
Aleksey Mironov
FC Rostov
VAR
12'
Pedro
Zenit
🟨
13'
Aleksey Mironov
FC Rostov
14'
A. Sobolev
Zenit
🟨
52'
Kirill Shchetinin
FC Rostov
🔄
67'
A. Mironov ↔ D. Prokhin
FC Rostov
🔄
67'
A. Sobolev ↔ N. Alip
Zenit
🔄
67'
Pedrinho ↔ Gustavo Mantuan
Zenit
🟥
72'
Dmitry Chistyakov
FC Rostov
VAR
72'
Dmitry Chistyakov
FC Rostov
🔄
76'
T. Suleymanov ↔ E. Golenkov
FC Rostov
🔄
76'
A. Langovich ↔ Ronaldo
FC Rostov
🟨
77'
Luiz Henrique
Zenit
🔄
80'
Luiz Henrique ↔ A. Erokhin
Zenit
🔄
83'
I. Komarov ↔ K. Bayramyan
FC Rostov
🔄
83'
K. Shchetinin ↔ K. Kuchaev
FC Rostov
🟨
88'
Danila Prokhin
FC Rostov
🔄
89'
M. Glushenkov ↔ D. Kondakov
Zenit

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 92%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
92%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Rostov Win 8%
Draw 0%
Zenit Win 92%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Rostov0.78
Zenit1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WWDLW
25 GF / 31 GA
Zenit Zenit
WLDWL
52 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.66
13
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
12
3.66
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Rostov FC Rostov 29 matches
Zenit Zenit 29 matches
FC Rostov Statistic Zenit
8 Wins 19
9 Draws 8
12 Losses 2
25 Goals For 52
31 Goals Against 19
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.66
13 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 23
7 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 3
3.66 Shots On Goal 5
11.62 Total Shots 13.21
4.24 Corners 5.66
47.9% Ball Possession 59.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Zenit's more proactive style and FC Rostov's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Zenit. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Rostov expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Zenit in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zenit having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Zenit carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 65 points while FC Rostov sit 10 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Zenit look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Rostov Analysis

So far, FC Rostov have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 33 points from 29 matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 25:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo (6 goals), Timur Suleymanov (4 goals), M. Mohebi (3 goals), with creative support from Egor Golenkov (4 assists), Kirill Shchetinin (3 assists), M. Mohebi (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zenit Analysis

Zenit come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 65 points after 29 matches. With 19 wins, 8 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 52:19, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Sobolev (9 goals), Maksim Glushenkov (9 goals), A. Mostovoy (6 goals), with creative support from Maksim Glushenkov (8 assists), Pedro (4 assists), Luiz Henrique (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Rostov won 0 times, Zenit won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:30 from FC Rostov's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Rostov 4-3-3 / Zenit 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Rostov 1, Zenit 1
H2H summary: FC Rostov wins 0, draws 4, Zenit wins 11
Stats
FC Rostov FC Rostov
Zenit Zenit
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 8
13 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 3
0 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 6
1 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
390 Total passes 298
302 Passes accurate 215
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Rostov
Formation
Zenit
R. Yatimov
R. Yatimov
A. Langovich
A. Langovich
V. Melekhin
V. Melekhin
D. Chistyakov
D. Chistyakov
O. Sako
O. Sako
I. Vakhania
I. Vakhania
I. Komarov
I. Komarov
A. Mironov
A. Mironov
K. Shchetinin
K. Shchetinin
M. Mohebi
M. Mohebi
T. Suleymanov
T. Suleymanov
D. Adamov
D. Adamov
V. Drkusic
V. Drkusic
I. Diveev
I. Diveev
Nino
Nino
D. Santos
D. Santos
W. Barrios
W. Barrios
Wendel
Wendel
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
M. Glushenkov
M. Glushenkov
Pedrinho
Pedrinho
A. Sobolev
A. Sobolev
FC Rostov 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
R. Yatimov
G
87
A. Langovich
↓ 76'
D
4
V. Melekhin
D
78
D. Chistyakov
🟥 72'
D
3
O. Sako
D
40
I. Vakhania
D
62
I. Komarov
↓ 83'
M
8
A. Mironov
↓ 67' 🟨 13'
M
10
K. Shchetinin
↓ 83' 🟨 52'
M
9
M. Mohebi
🟨 10'
M
99
T. Suleymanov
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
71
D. Odoevski
G
48
S. Mokrousov
G
19
K. Bayramyan
↑ 83'
M
69
E. Golenkov
↑ 76'
F
57
I. Zhbanov
M
22
D. Semenchuk
D
91
A. Shamonin
F
18
K. Kuchaev
↑ 83'
M
5
D. Prokhin
↑ 67' 🟨 88'
D
7
Ronaldo
↑ 76'
F
58
D. Shantaliy
M
67
G. Ignatov
D
Zenit 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
D. Adamov
G
6
V. Drkusic
D
78
I. Diveev
D
33
Nino
D
3
D. Santos
D
5
W. Barrios
M
8
Wendel
M
11
Luiz Henrique
↓ 80' 🟨 77'
M
10
M. Glushenkov
↓ 89'
M
20
Pedrinho
↓ 67'
M
7
A. Sobolev
⚽ 14' ↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
1
E. Latyshonok
G
41
M. Kerzhakov
G
21
A. Erokhin
↑ 80'
M
17
A. Mostovoy
M
28
N. Alip
↑ 67'
D
15
V. Karavaev
D
4
Y. Gorshkov
D
23
A. Adamov
D
31
Gustavo Mantuan
↑ 67'
M
66
R. Vega
D
14
Jhon Jhon
M
61
D. Kondakov
↑ 89'
M
Last matches: FC Rostov
11.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akron
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akhmat
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dynamo
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Baltika
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
2
5
L
18.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Qingdao Youth Island
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Noah
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Chengdu Better City
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Rubin
2
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
1
3
L
Last matches: Zenit
10.05.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Sochi
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Akhmat
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Zenit
Kairat Almaty
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Dynamo
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Zenit
Baltika
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
09.02.26
Fri
Zenit
Dinamo Samarqand
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
03.02.26
Fri
Zenit
Dynamo
2
1
W
26.01.26
Fri
Zenit
SHANGHAI SIPG
6
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Zenit
SHANGHAI SIPG
4
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Zenit
Akron
2
0
W
H2H: FC Rostov vs Zenit
17.05.26
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
20.07.25
H2H
Zenit
FC Rostov
2
1
L
18.05.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
16.04.25
H2H
Zenit
FC Rostov
2
0
L
12.03.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
07.02.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
1
2
L
03.08.24
H2H
Zenit
FC Rostov
5
0
L
25.05.24
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
FC Rostov
2
1
L
29.07.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
1
D
16.04.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
0
0
D
02.10.22
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
FC Rostov
3
1
L
03.12.21
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
FC Rostov
2
2
D
01.08.21
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
2
4
L
27.02.21
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
FC Rostov
2
2
D
15.08.20
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
0
2
L
Last matches: FC Rostov
25.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dynamo
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Baltika
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Qingdao Youth Island
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Noah
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Chengdu Better City
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Rubin
2
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Akron
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pre
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Akhmat
1
1
D
10.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
02.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Krylia Sovetov
1
4
L
H2H at home: FC Rostov
17.05.26
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
18.05.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
12.03.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
07.02.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
1
2
L
29.07.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
1
D
16.04.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
0
0
D
01.08.21
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
2
4
L
15.08.20
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
0
2
L
Last matches: Zenit
02.05.26
Pre
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
3
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Dynamo
3
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
17.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
23.11.25
Pre
Zenit
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Zenit
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pre
Zenit
FC Sochi
3
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Zenit
Akron
1
1
D
21.09.25
Pre
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Zenit
Baltika
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pre
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
2
2
D
09.08.25
Pre
Zenit
Akhmat
0
1
L
27.07.25
Pre
Zenit
Rubin
2
2
D
H2H away: Zenit
17.05.26
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
W
18.05.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
W
12.03.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
W
07.02.25
H2H
FC Rostov
Zenit
1
2
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Zenit Away
30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

FC Rostov 1 missing
-
H. Hankic
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Zenit 1 missing
-
V. Shilov
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT