Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
58.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.5%
|
- |
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Rostov
26 matches
FC Orenburg
26 matches
| FC Rostov | Statistic | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 13 |
| 20 | Goals For | 26 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.62 | Shots On Goal | 3.96 |
| 11.65 | Total Shots | 12.15 |
| 4.35 | Corners | 5.38 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Orenburg. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Rostov expected to line up in 3-5-2 and FC Orenburg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Orenburg having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 26 matches, FC Rostov have collected 27 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 19:26 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo (5 goals), Timur Suleymanov (4 goals), Aleksey Mironov (2 goals), with creative support from Egor Golenkov (3 assists), M. Mohebi (2 assists), Kirill Shchetinin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
FC Orenburg are currently 13 in the standings with 23 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 24:36 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Thompson (5 goals), E. Gurluk (4 goals), M. Savelyev (3 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (4 assists), E. Gurluk (1 assists), Du Queiroz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with B. Ovsyannikov unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Rostov won 9 times, FC Orenburg won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from FC Rostov's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
FC Rostov
4
2
4
6
6
5
Lineups
FC Rostov
Fakel
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
Fakel
FC Rostov
Dinamo Stavropol
FC Rostov
Zenit
FC Rostov
Akron
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
Akhmat
FC Rostov
Dynamo
FC Rostov
Baltika
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
Qingdao Youth Island
FC Rostov
FC Noah
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
FK Neftekhimik
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Akron
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Kairat Almaty
FC Orenburg
Alashkert
FC Orenburg
Bunyodkor
FC Orenburg
Mornar
FC Rostov
Fakel
FC Rostov
Dinamo Stavropol
FC Rostov
Zenit
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov
Dynamo
FC Rostov
Baltika
FC Rostov
Qingdao Youth Island
FC Rostov
FC Noah
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
Chengdu Better City
FC Rostov
Rubin
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
Akron
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
Akhmat
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Akron
FC Orenburg
Baltika
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
FC Rostov
Home
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Orenburg
Away
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|