FC Rostov vs Fakel Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
68.4%
|
1.23 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.17 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.56 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.32 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.89 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
FC Rostov
Fakel
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Rostov
17 matches
Fakel
17 matches
| FC Rostov | Statistic | Fakel |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 25 | Goals For | 22 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.83 | Shots On Goal | 2.17 |
| 15.5 | Total Shots | 10.5 |
| 4.83 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 49.2% | Ball Possession | 47.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Rostov arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 5 points compared to Fakel in 16 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fakel. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Rostov expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fakel in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fakel having the stronger overall control. Fakel arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
FC Rostov are currently 12 in the standings with 5 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Timur Suleymanov (2 goals), Andrey Langovich (1 goals), Viktor Melekhin (1 goals), with creative support from Andrey Langovich (2 assists), Konstantin Kuchaev (2 assists), Olakunle Olusegun (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 2 points from 5 games and a place of 16, Fakel still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:6, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vyacheslav Yakimov (1 goals), Alexey Sutormin (1 goals), Maksim Turishchev (1 goals), with creative support from Nikolay Giorgobiani (1 assists), Belajdi Pusi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, FC Rostov won 8 times, Fakel won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:10 from FC Rostov's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 21 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 19 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 18 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
FC Rostov
Home
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Fakel
Away
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
L
D
L
L
D
|