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FC Rostov
NS
Fakel

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.3%
Odds 3.94
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.3%
3.94 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.87 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.90 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Rostov Win 12.4%
Draw 9.4%
Fakel Win 78.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Rostov1.4
Fakel1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Fakel Fakel
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
5
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Rostov FC Rostov 10 matches
Fakel Fakel 10 matches
FC Rostov Statistic Fakel
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 1
16 Goals For 18
16 Goals Against 11
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
5 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, FC Rostov won 7 times, Fakel won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:6 from FC Rostov's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Rostov 5-4-1 / Fakel -
H2H summary: FC Rostov wins 7, draws 1, Fakel wins 2
Last matches: FC Rostov
11.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
3
3
D
07.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Fakel
1
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Dinamo Stavropol
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akron
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Akhmat
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dynamo
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Baltika
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
2
5
L
18.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Qingdao Youth Island
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Noah
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
0
1
L
Last matches: Fakel
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H: FC Rostov vs Fakel
20.04.25
H2H
Fakel
FC Rostov
0
2
W
01.09.24
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel
4
1
W
27.06.24
H2H
Fakel
FC Rostov
0
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
FC Rostov
0
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
2
1
W
15.07.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
FC Rostov
1
0
L
09.07.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
3
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
0
2
L
22.10.22
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
FC Rostov
1
1
D
23.06.22
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
2
0
W
Last matches: FC Rostov
03.07.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Dinamo Stavropol
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Zenit
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Sochi
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Dynamo
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Rostov
Baltika
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Qingdao Youth Island
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
FC Noah
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
FC Rostov
Chengdu Better City
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Rubin
2
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Lokomotiv
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Akron
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pre
FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Akhmat
1
1
D
10.08.25
Pre
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
1
0
W
H2H at home: FC Rostov
01.09.24
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel
4
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
2
1
W
09.07.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
3
0
W
06.05.23
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
0
2
L
23.06.22
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel Voronezh
2
0
W
Last matches: Fakel
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H away: Fakel
01.09.24
H2H
FC Rostov
Fakel
4
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.94
Draw 3.54
Home 1.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.08
Draw 2.53
Home 2.20
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.16
Away -0.75 1.65
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.37
Away -1.5 1.27
Away -1.75 1.17
Away -2 1.07
Away -2.25 1.06
Away -2.5 1.05
Away +0 2.79
Away +0.25 3.20
Away +0.75 4.84
Away +1 7.60
Away +1.25 8.05
Away +1.5 8.50
Home -0.25 1.56
Home -0.75 2.06
Home -1 2.60
Home -1.25 2.95
Home -1.5 3.22
Home -1.75 4.07
Home -2 5.75
Home -2.25 6.15
Home -2.5 6.55
Home +0 1.34
Home +0.25 1.26
Home +0.75 1.11
Home +1 1.03
Home +1.25 1.02
Home +1.5 1.01
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 1.75 1.31
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.44
Over 3.25 2.70
Over 3.5 2.99
Over 3.75 3.68
Over 4.0 4.95
Over 4.25 5.30
Over 4.5 5.70
Under 0.5 10.20
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 4.70
Under 1.5 3.44
Under 1.75 3.06
Under 2.0 2.69
Under 2.25 2.21
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.36
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 3.75 1.20
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER FIRST HALF
Over 0.5 1.37
Over 0.75 1.51
Over 1.0 1.83
Over 1.25 2.27
Over 1.5 2.73
Over 1.75 3.46
Over 2.0 5.50
Over 2.25 6.01
Over 2.5 6.55
Under 0.5 2.85
Under 0.75 2.39
Under 1.0 1.92
Under 1.25 1.56
Under 1.5 1.40
Under 1.75 1.24
Under 2.0 1.10
Under 2.25 1.06
Under 2.5 1.05
HT/FT DOUBLE
Away/Away 6.80
Away/Draw 15.50
Away/Home 26.00
Draw/Away 8.90
Draw/Draw 5.25
Draw/Home 4.75
Home/Away 41.00
Home/Draw 15.00
Home/Home 2.80
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
No 2.00
Yes 1.73
EXACT SCORE
0:0 10.50
0:1 10.50
0:10 100.00
0:2 18.00
0:3 41.00
0:4 70.00
0:5 100.00
0:6 100.00
0:7 100.00
0:8 100.00
0:9 100.00
1:0 7.00
1:1 6.50
1:10 100.00
1:2 11.50
1:3 28.00
1:4 50.00
1:5 100.00
1:6 100.00
1:7 100.00
1:8 100.00
1:9 100.00
10:0 100.00
10:1 100.00
10:10 100.00
10:2 100.00
10:3 100.00
10:4 100.00
10:5 100.00
10:6 100.00
10:7 100.00
10:8 100.00
10:9 100.00
2:0 8.50
2:1 7.90
2:10 100.00
2:2 14.00
2:3 33.00
2:4 60.00
2:5 100.00
2:6 100.00
2:7 100.00
2:8 100.00
2:9 100.00
3:0 15.00
3:1 14.00
3:10 100.00
3:2 24.00
3:3 100.00
3:4 100.00
3:5 100.00
3:6 100.00
3:7 100.00
3:8 100.00
3:9 100.00
4:0 22.00
4:1 20.00
4:10 100.00
4:2 34.00
4:3 100.00
4:4 100.00
4:5 100.00
4:6 100.00
4:7 100.00
4:8 100.00
4:9 100.00
5:0 50.00
5:1 50.00
5:10 100.00
5:2 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
5:6 100.00
5:7 100.00
5:8 100.00
5:9 100.00
6:0 90.00
6:1 90.00
6:10 100.00
6:2 100.00
6:3 100.00
6:4 100.00
6:5 100.00
6:6 100.00
6:7 100.00
6:8 100.00
6:9 100.00
7:0 100.00
7:1 100.00
7:10 100.00
7:2 100.00
7:3 100.00
7:4 100.00
7:5 100.00
7:6 100.00
7:7 100.00
7:8 100.00
7:9 100.00
8:0 100.00
8:1 100.00
8:10 100.00
8:2 100.00
8:3 100.00
8:4 100.00
8:5 100.00
8:6 100.00
8:7 100.00
8:8 100.00
8:9 100.00
9:0 100.00
9:1 100.00
9:10 100.00
9:2 100.00
9:3 100.00
9:4 100.00
9:5 100.00
9:6 100.00
9:7 100.00
9:8 100.00
9:9 100.00
HIGHEST SCORING HALF
1st Half 3.08
2nd Half 2.02
Draw 3.55
DOUBLE CHANCE
Draw/Away 1.88
Home/Away 1.27
Home/Draw 1.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.64
Draw 2.13
Home 2.44
TOTAL - HOME
Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1 1.32
Over 1.5 1.91
Over 2 2.91
Over 2.5 3.82
Over 3 7.60
Over 3.5 8.80
Under 0.5 4.55
Under 1 3.22
Under 1.5 1.86
Under 2 1.38
Under 2.5 1.22
Under 3 1.04
Under 3.5 1.02
TOTAL - AWAY
Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1 2.10
Over 1.5 3.22
Over 2 7.30
Over 2.5 8.60
Under 0.5 2.58
Under 1 1.71
Under 1.5 1.32
Under 2 1.06
Under 2.5 1.03
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Away -0.25 1.75
Away -0.75 1.28
Away -1 1.09
Away -1.5 1.04
Away +0 2.55
Away +0.25 3.40
Away +0.75 6.15
Home -0.25 1.94
Home -0.75 3.18
Home -1 5.40
Home -1.5 6.80
Home +0 1.44
Home +0.25 1.26
Home +0.75 1.08
DOUBLE CHANCE - FIRST HALF
Draw/Away 1.45
Home/Away 1.58
Home/Draw 1.13
ODD/EVEN
Even 1.82
Odd 1.86
ODD/EVEN - FIRST HALF
Even 1.67
Odd 2.05
HOME ODD/EVEN
Even 1.79
Odd 1.89
GOALS OVER/UNDER - SECOND HALF
Over 0.5 1.19
Over 0.75 1.28
Over 1.0 1.40
Over 1.25 1.74
Over 1.5 2.07
Over 1.75 2.47
Over 2.0 3.34
Over 2.25 3.72
Over 2.5 4.30
Under 0.5 3.92
Under 0.75 3.36
Under 1.0 2.73
Under 1.25 2.02
Under 1.5 1.71
Under 1.75 1.51
Under 2.0 1.28
Under 2.25 1.22
Under 2.5 1.16
CORRECT SCORE - FIRST HALF
0:0 2.85
0:1 6.00
0:2 22.00
0:3 80.00
0:4 100.00
0:5 100.00
1:0 3.80
1:1 8.00
1:2 29.00
1:3 80.00
1:4 100.00
1:5 100.00
2:0 9.50
2:1 19.00
2:2 60.00
2:3 80.00
2:4 100.00
2:5 100.00
3:0 30.00
3:1 60.00
3:2 80.00
3:3 100.00
3:4 100.00
3:5 100.00
4:0 100.00
4:1 100.00
4:2 100.00
4:3 100.00
4:4 100.00
4:5 100.00
5:0 100.00
5:1 100.00
5:2 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
DOUBLE CHANCE - SECOND HALF
Draw/Away 1.55
Home/Away 1.41
Home/Draw 1.17
BOTH TEAMS SCORE - FIRST HALF
No 1.18
Yes 4.35
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE - SECOND HALF
No 1.30
Yes 3.20
AWAY ODD/EVEN
Even 1.66
Odd 2.06
CORRECT SCORE - SECOND HALF
0:0 3.92
0:1 6.60
0:2 22.00
0:3 80.00
0:4 100.00
0:5 100.00
1:0 4.20
1:1 6.90
1:2 23.00
1:3 85.00
1:4 100.00
1:5 100.00
2:0 9.00
2:1 14.50
2:2 43.00
2:3 100.00
2:4 100.00
2:5 100.00
3:0 27.00
3:1 43.00
3:2 100.00
3:3 100.00
3:4 100.00
3:5 100.00
4:0 85.00
4:1 100.00
4:2 100.00
4:3 100.00
4:4 100.00
4:5 100.00
5:0 100.00
5:1 100.00
5:2 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
ODD/EVEN - SECOND HALF
Even 1.76
Odd 1.93
ASIAN HANDICAP (2ND HALF)
Away -0.25 1.87
Away -0.75 1.39
Away -1 1.18
Away -1.5 1.10
Away +0 2.58
Away +0.25 3.26
Away +0.75 5.45
Away +1 10.50
Home -0.25 1.81
Home -0.75 2.67
Home -1 4.05
Home -1.5 5.20
Home +0 1.43
Home +0.25 1.28
Home +0.75 1.10
Home +1 1.00
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5 1.79
Over 1 3.48
Over 1.5 5.15
Under 0.5 1.89
Under 1 1.25
Under 1.5 1.12
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5 2.46
Over 1 7.30
Over 1.5 9.50
Under 0.5 1.47
Under 1 1.05
Under 1.5 1.02
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1 2.37
Over 1.5 3.60
Over 2 8.50
Over 2.5 10.00
Under 0.5 2.30
Under 1 1.51
Under 1.5 1.23
Under 2 1.03
Under 2.5 1.01
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 0.5 2.00
Over 1 4.30
Over 1.5 6.30
Under 0.5 1.71
Under 1 1.17
Under 1.5 1.07
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.94
Draw 3.54
Home 1.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.64
Draw 2.13
Home 2.44
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.08
Draw 2.53
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 1.75 1.31
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.44
Over 3.25 2.70
Over 3.5 2.99
Over 3.75 3.68
Over 4.0 4.95
Over 4.25 5.30
Over 4.5 5.70
Under 0.5 10.20
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 4.70
Under 1.5 3.44
Under 1.75 3.06
Under 2.0 2.69
Under 2.25 2.21
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.36
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 3.75 1.20
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08