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04.11.2026 20:00
Estádio do Dragão
Referee: Michael Oliver

FC Porto vs Napoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.6%
1.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.70 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 49.9%
Draw 23.7%
Napoli Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.8
Napoli1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
W W L L W
9 GF / 5 GA
Napoli Napoli
L W D W L
11 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.89
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
10
5.77
Shots on Goal
5.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 16 matches
Napoli Napoli 18 matches
FC Porto Statistic Napoli
12 Wins 8
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
32 Goals For 34
13 Goals Against 27
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
5.77 Shots On Goal 5.38
15.08 Total Shots 14.54
5.77 Corners 4.54
52.5% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.3%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Napoli 4-3-3
Missing players: FC Porto 6, Napoli 12

Standings

League Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 20:5 15 12
W W W W
2 4 3 0 1 14:6 8 9
W L W W
3 4 3 0 1 12:6 6 9
L W W W
4 3 3 0 0 12:7 5 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 10:5 5 9
W W W
6 4 3 0 1 8:4 4 9
W L W W
7 3 3 0 0 7:4 3 9
W W W
8 4 2 2 0 12:5 7 8
W D D W
9 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
D W W
10 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
L D W W
11 3 2 0 1 10:5 5 6
W L W
12 3 2 0 1 9:5 4 6
W L W
13 3 2 0 1 9:6 3 6
W W L
14 4 2 0 2 8:6 2 6
W W L L
15 4 2 0 2 10:9 1 6
W W L L W
16 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
W L W
17 4 2 0 2 8:8 0 6
W L L W
18 4 2 0 2 8:9 -1 6
W W L L
19 4 1 1 2 10:8 2 4
L W L D
20 4 1 1 2 4:4 0 4
L L W D
21 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
22 4 1 1 2 4:5 -1 4
L D W L
23 4 1 1 2 4:9 -5 4
D L W L W
24 3 1 0 2 5:7 -2 3
W L L
25 3 1 0 2 3:6 -3 3
L W L W L
26 3 1 0 2 3:7 -4 3
L L W
27 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L L W W D
28 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L W L
29 4 1 0 3 8:14 -6 3
L L W L
30 4 1 0 3 4:11 -7 3
L L W L
31 3 0 2 1 3:9 -6 2
D L D W D
32 3 0 1 2 4:7 -3 1
D L L
33 3 0 1 2 5:9 -4 1
L D L W D
34 4 0 1 3 4:10 -6 1
D L L L
35 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0
L L L
36 4 0 0 4 1:17 -16 0
L L L L W
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