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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
27.12.2026 16:00

FC Porto vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto2.05
Nacional1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
WWDLW
27 GF / 12 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
14 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
1.08
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
2
7
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
5.6
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 13 matches
Nacional Nacional 13 matches
FC Porto Statistic Nacional
10 Wins 1
0 Draws 4
3 Losses 8
27 Goals For 14
12 Goals Against 26
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 2
7 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 5
5.6 Shots On Goal 3.13
14.6 Total Shots 10.88
5.7 Corners 4.38
51.9% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 13 times, Nacional won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 41:8 from FC Porto's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Nacional 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 13, draws 1, Nacional wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2