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31.10.2026 20:30
Estádio do Dragão
Referee: Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
FC Porto
Match Timeline
Estoril
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
Victor Froholdt · Assist: Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
FC Porto
🟨
34'
Jan Bednarek
FC Porto
🔄
45'
Zaidu Sanusi ↔ João Victor de Souza Menezes
FC Porto
🔄
50'
André Tiago Ramos das Neves ↔ Nail Omerovic
Estoril
🔄
62'
Jordan Arnolin ↔ Axel Camblan
Estoril
🔄
62'
Xavier Sintes Egea ↔ Miguel Angelo Da Silva Rocha
Estoril
🔄
62'
Stelios Andreou ↔ Samuel Amissah
Estoril
⚽
64'
Borja Sainz · Assist: Gabri Veiga
FC Porto
🔄
67'
Samuel Aghehowa ↔ André Silva
FC Porto
⚽
70'
André Silva
FC Porto
⚽
73'
Gabri Veiga · Assist: Borja Sainz
FC Porto
🔄
74'
Francisco Reis Ferreira ↔ Jordan Holsgrove
Estoril
🔄
74'
Jan Bednarek ↔ Alan Gonzalo Varela
FC Porto
🔄
74'
Gabri Veiga ↔ Seko Fofana
FC Porto
🔄
78'
Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa ↔ Gabriel Mec
FC Porto
🔄
90'
Pedro Carvalho ↔ Ricard Sanchez Sendra
Estoril
🔄
90+2'
Alberto Costa ↔ Nehuén Pérez
FC Porto

FC Porto vs Estoril Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.9%
1.17 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.49 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.8%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.57 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 80.9%
Draw 13.3%
Estoril Win 5.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.67
Estoril0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
W L L W W
8 GF / 6 GA
Estoril Estoril
L L L L D
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
0.69
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
7
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
5
5.33
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 15 matches
Estoril Estoril 13 matches
FC Porto Statistic Estoril
11 Wins 1
0 Draws 4
4 Losses 8
28 Goals For 9
13 Goals Against 18
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
7 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
5.33 Shots On Goal 5.22
14.33 Total Shots 14.44
5.58 Corners 5
51.4% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 11 times, Estoril won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:14 from FC Porto's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Estoril 4-5-1
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 11, draws 1, Estoril wins 3

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 10 0 0 25:4 21 30
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 27:8 19 25
W W W L W
3 10 6 3 1 23:11 12 21
W L W D D
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W L W D W
5 10 6 2 2 13:7 6 20
W W W D L
6 10 6 2 2 15:12 3 20
W W W W W
7 10 4 3 3 8:7 1 15
D L W W D
8 10 4 2 4 12:11 1 14
W L L L D
9 10 4 2 4 13:17 -4 14
W W L D W
10 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
L L W W W
11 10 2 4 4 14:14 0 10
L W L W D
12 10 2 4 4 15:19 -4 10
L L L L D
13 10 2 3 5 10:10 0 9
D W L D L
14 10 2 2 6 9:21 -12 8
L L L D L
15 10 2 1 7 10:19 -9 7
L W L L L
16 10 2 1 7 9:23 -14 7
L L W L D
17 10 2 1 7 5:19 -14 7
L W L W L
18 10 0 2 8 5:19 -14 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2