PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
27.02.2026 18:45
Estádio Do Dragão
Referee: I. Vasilica
FC Porto
Match Timeline
Arouca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
O. Pietuszewski · Assist: V. Froholdt
FC Porto
VAR
4'
Oskar Pietuszewski
FC Porto
🔄
46'
J. Sanchez ↔ B. Popovic
Arouca
🔄
61'
D. Gul ↔ T. Moffi
FC Porto
🔄
62'
O. Pietuszewski ↔ William Gomes
FC Porto
🔄
62'
G. Veiga ↔ R. Mora
FC Porto
🔄
66'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
⚽
70'
N. Djouahra
Arouca
🔄
76'
P. Rosario ↔ S. Fofana
FC Porto
🔄
78'
B. Mansilla ↔ J. Silva
Arouca
🔄
78'
P. Gozalbez ↔ J. Santiago Perez
Arouca
🔄
84'
Pepê ↔ A. Miranda
FC Porto
🔄
85'
A. Trezza ↔ Puche
Arouca
🟨
90+3'
Diogo Monteiro
Arouca
🟨
90+2'
Boris Popović
Arouca
⚽
90'
William Gomes
FC Porto
⚽
90'
T. Moffi · Assist: William Gomes
FC Porto

FC Porto vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.96
Arouca0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
WWDLW
57 GF / 14 GA
Arouca Arouca
WLDWL
31 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.35
0.45
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
11
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
16
5.23
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 31 matches
Arouca Arouca 23 matches
FC Porto Statistic Arouca
25 Wins 7
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 11
57 Goals For 31
14 Goals Against 49
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
0.45 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
11 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 12
19 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 7
5.23 Shots On Goal 3.57
14.23 Total Shots 10.26
5.74 Corners 3.83
56.3% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 12 times, Arouca won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 41:8 from FC Porto's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 12, draws 1, Arouca wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2