Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
65.8%
|
- |
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Orenburg
25 matches
Nizhny Novgorod
25 matches
| FC Orenburg | Statistic | Nizhny Novgorod |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 13 | Losses | 15 |
| 24 | Goals For | 21 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.88 | Shots On Goal | 3.96 |
| 11.92 | Total Shots | 11.28 |
| 5.2 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 47.5% | Ball Possession | 43.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Orenburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nizhny Novgorod in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nizhny Novgorod having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nizhny Novgorod. FC Orenburg have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
FC Orenburg sit 15 with 20 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 24:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Thompson (5 goals), E. Gurluk (4 goals), M. Savelyev (3 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (2 assists), E. Gurluk (1 assists), Du Queiroz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with G. Guzina, F. Moufi unavailable.
Nizhny Novgorod sit 14 with 22 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 20:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juan Manuel Boselli (8 goals), O. Olusegun (5 goals), Daniil Lesovoy (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Boselli (2 assists), Egor Smelov (2 assists), O. Olusegun (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without A. Ektov, S. Karic, O. Olusegun, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, FC Orenburg won 9 times, Nizhny Novgorod won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from FC Orenburg's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.
FC Orenburg
6
1
10
2
2
2
Lineups
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
FK Neftekhimik
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Akron
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Kairat Almaty
FC Orenburg
Alashkert
FC Orenburg
Bunyodkor
FC Orenburg
Mornar
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
Tekstilshchik
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
Nizhny Novgorod
FC UFA
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
FK Tobol Kostanay
Nizhny Novgorod
Enisey
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
Nizhny Novgorod
Chelyabinsk
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
FK Neftekhimik
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Akron
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Kairat Almaty
FC Orenburg
Alashkert
FC Orenburg
Bunyodkor
FC Orenburg
Mornar
FC Orenburg
Surkhon
FC Orenburg
Baltika
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
Rubin
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
Nizhny Novgorod
Baltika
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
Torpedo Moskva
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Nizhny Novgorod
Akron
Nizhny Novgorod
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
Zenit
Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov
Nizhny Novgorod
Krylia Sovetov
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Orenburg
Home
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Nizhny Novgorod
Away
|
30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|