RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Gazovik Stadium
Referee: I. Demeshko
FC Orenburg
Match Timeline
Krylia Sovetov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
E. Bolotov · Assist: Du Queiroz
FC Orenburg
🟨
32'
Fahd Moufi
FC Orenburg
🟨
45+3'
Mihajlo Banjac
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
59'
Maksim Vityugov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
62'
Alexandre Jesus ↔ G. Guzina
FC Orenburg
🔄
62'
D. Puebla ↔ R. Golybin
FC Orenburg
🔄
62'
E. Gurluk ↔ D. Rybchinskiy
FC Orenburg
🟨
67'
Nikita Chernov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
68'
M. Vityugov ↔ J. Marin
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
68'
M. Banjac ↔ A. Shumansky
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
71'
Fernando Costanza
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
75'
J. Palacios ↔ E. Tsenov
FC Orenburg
🔄
82'
Fernando Costanza ↔ K. Stolbov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
82'
I. Oleynikov ↔ V. Ignatenko
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
84'
Danila Vedernikov
FC Orenburg
🔄
89'
S. Babkin ↔ V. Khubulov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
90+2'
J. Thompson ↔ M. Savelyev
FC Orenburg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Orenburg Win 62%
Draw 14.6%
Krylia Sovetov Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Orenburg1.28
Krylia Sovetov1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
WWDLW
28 GF / 41 GA
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
WLDWL
31 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
14
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
13
3.86
Shots on Goal
2.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 28 matches
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 28 matches
FC Orenburg Statistic Krylia Sovetov
6 Wins 7
8 Draws 8
14 Losses 13
28 Goals For 31
41 Goals Against 48
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
14 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 26
12 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 9
3.86 Shots On Goal 2.96
12.25 Total Shots 8.46
5.5 Corners 3.75
47.8% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Krylia Sovetov. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

FC Orenburg Analysis

FC Orenburg sit 13 with 26 points after 28 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 28:41 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Thompson (5 goals), E. Gurluk (4 goals), Alexandre Jesus (3 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (5 assists), E. Gurluk (1 assists), Du Queiroz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Krylia Sovetov have collected 29 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, while the 31:48 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Oleynikov (5 goals), V. Rakov (5 goals), A. Rahmanovic (4 goals), with creative support from Ilzat Akhmetov (6 assists), N. Rasskazov (4 assists), I. Oleynikov (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Orenburg won 5 times, Krylia Sovetov won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from FC Orenburg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1 / Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Orenburg 0, Krylia Sovetov 3
H2H summary: FC Orenburg wins 5, draws 6, Krylia Sovetov wins 4
Stats
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 5
17 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
207 Total passes 422
155 Passes accurate 345
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Orenburg
Formation
Krylia Sovetov
B. Ovsyannikov
B. Ovsyannikov
F. Moufi
F. Moufi
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
D. Khotulev
D. Khotulev
D. Vedernikov
D. Vedernikov
E. Bolotov
E. Bolotov
Du Queiroz
🎯
Du Queiroz
J. Thompson
J. Thompson
D. Puebla
D. Puebla
E. Gurluk
E. Gurluk
Alexandre Jesus
Alexandre Jesus
S. Pesjakov
S. Pesjakov
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza
N. Chernov
N. Chernov
S. Bozhin
S. Bozhin
K. Pechenin
K. Pechenin
S. Babkin
S. Babkin
M. Vityugov
M. Vityugov
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov
M. Banjac
M. Banjac
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov
A. Rahmanovic
A. Rahmanovic
FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Ovsyannikov
G
18
F. Moufi
🟨 32'
D
6
J. Palacios
↓ 75'
D
4
D. Khotulev
D
3
D. Vedernikov
🟨 84'
D
57
E. Bolotov
⚽ 23'
M
37
Du Queiroz
🎯 23'
M
16
J. Thompson
↓ 90+2'
M
8
D. Puebla
↓ 62'
M
7
E. Gurluk
↓ 62'
M
19
Alexandre Jesus
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
88
M. Rudakov
G
33
I. Kvekveskiri
M
9
M. Savelyev
↑ 90+2'
F
30
G. Guzina
↑ 62'
F
26
E. Tsenov
↑ 75'
M
32
A. Cantero
D
2
S. Poroykov
M
27
R. Golybin
↑ 62'
M
29
A. El Mahraoui
F
20
D. Rybchinskiy
↑ 62'
M
78
R. Kul
M
59
T. Avanesyan
M
Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
S. Pesjakov
G
22
Fernando Costanza
↓ 82' 🟨 71'
D
23
N. Chernov
🟨 67'
D
47
S. Bozhin
D
2
K. Pechenin
D
6
S. Babkin
↓ 89'
M
8
M. Vityugov
↓ 68' 🟨 59'
M
15
N. Rasskazov
M
14
M. Banjac
↓ 68' 🟨 45+3'
M
19
I. Oleynikov
↓ 82'
M
11
A. Rahmanovic
F
Substitutes
80
N. Kokarev
G
39
E. Frolov
G
72
D. Fernandez
D
26
J. Marin
↑ 68'
M
5
D. Oroz
D
10
V. Khubulov
↑ 89'
M
20
K. Stolbov
↑ 82'
M
18
I. Lepskii
D
91
V. Ignatenko
↑ 82'
F
9
A. Sutormin
M
3
T. Galdames
D
70
A. Shumansky
↑ 68'
F
Last matches: FC Orenburg
17.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akron
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Kairat Almaty
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Alashkert
2
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Bunyodkor
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Mornar
1
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Surkhon
4
1
W
05.12.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
0
1
L
29.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
0
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Baltika
0
0
D
Last matches: Krylia Sovetov
17.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akron
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Sochi
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Rubin
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
0
3
L
08.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dynamo
0
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chayka
5
3
W
17.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chelyabinsk
3
2
W
09.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
KAMAZ
0
1
L
09.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Ozgon
3
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Torpedo Moskva
2
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
23.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
2
0
W
H2H: FC Orenburg vs Krylia Sovetov
10.05.26
H2H
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
W
04.03.26
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
2
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
2
0
L
20.10.24
H2H
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov
2
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
Orenburg
1
1
D
02.04.23
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
Orenburg
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
Orenburg
3
3
D
16.07.22
H2H
Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov
2
4
W
29.11.20
H2H
Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov
2
1
L
22.08.20
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
Orenburg
0
1
W
28.02.20
H2H
Krylya Sovetov
Orenburg
1
1
D
20.10.19
H2H
Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov
0
1
W
03.04.19
H2H
Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov
3
1
L
Last matches: FC Orenburg
22.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
08.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akron
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Kairat Almaty
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Alashkert
2
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Bunyodkor
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Mornar
1
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Surkhon
4
1
W
22.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Baltika
0
0
D
02.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
3
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
1
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
2
2
D
22.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
2
2
D
10.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
0
1
L
27.07.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
21.07.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
0
0
D
H2H at home: FC Orenburg
10.05.26
H2H
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
W
20.10.24
H2H
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D
Last matches: Krylia Sovetov
21.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Sochi
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dynamo
0
4
L
20.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chayka
5
3
W
17.02.26
Fri
Krylia Sovetov
Chelyabinsk
3
2
W
07.12.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Baltika
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar
0
5
L
01.11.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Rubin
0
2
L
21.09.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
31.08.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv
2
2
D
16.08.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
1
3
L
02.08.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
4
1
W
19.07.25
Pre
Krylia Sovetov
Akron
1
1
D
H2H away: Krylia Sovetov
10.05.26
H2H
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
L
20.10.24
H2H
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
2
2
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

FC Orenburg 0 missing
No missing players data
Krylia Sovetov 3 missing
-
A. Sutormin
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
C. Geoffrey
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
I. Akhmetov
Questionable Injury
OUT