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DENMARK › SUPERLIGA
09.10.2026 17:00
Right to Dream Park
Referee: Morten Krogh

FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.5%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
77.6%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.8%
1.39 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Nordsjaelland Win 72.5%
Draw 3.8%
Odense Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Nordsjaelland1.79
Odense1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland
WWDLW
51 GF / 39 GA
Odense Odense
WLDWL
30 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
13
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
11
5.73
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 29 matches
Odense Odense 19 matches
FC Nordsjaelland Statistic Odense
14 Wins 7
6 Draws 4
9 Losses 8
51 Goals For 30
39 Goals Against 35
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
13 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 15
16 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 5
5.73 Shots On Goal 4.11
18.27 Total Shots 15.33
5.67 Corners 6.78
57.7% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Nordsjaelland's more proactive style and Odense's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Nordsjaelland expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Odense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Odense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Odense. FC Nordsjaelland arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 17 points compared to Odense in 9 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FC Nordsjaelland Analysis

Placed 4 with 17 points from 9 outings, FC Nordsjaelland continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 14:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Lind (3 goals), H. Boe Rasmussen (3 goals), M. Walker (2 goals), with creative support from M. Brink (3 assists), J. Lähteenmäki (2 assists), A. Lind (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with T. Salquist, N. Rojkjaer, S. Alio unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Odense Analysis

Odense are currently 9 in the standings with 9 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 8:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Ganaus (2 goals), J. Arp (2 goals), J. Bonde (2 goals), with creative support from A. Ahl-Holmström (2 assists), T. Keskinen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with P. Therkildsen, W. Martin, J. Niemiec unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Nordsjaelland won 5 times, Odense won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:24 from FC Nordsjaelland's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3 / Odense 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Nordsjaelland 4, Odense 3
H2H summary: FC Nordsjaelland wins 5, draws 3, Odense wins 7

Standings

Superliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 23:8 15 24
W W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 17:9 8 19
D W D W D
3 9 5 2 2 15:8 7 17
W D L W W
4 9 5 2 2 14:10 4 17
L W D L W
5 9 4 1 4 12:15 -3 13
L L L L W
6 9 3 2 4 15:16 -1 11
D L W L W
7 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
W D D D L
8 9 3 1 5 11:14 -3 10
L L W W L
9 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
D W L D D
10 9 1 4 4 10:16 -6 7
L D W D L
11 9 0 5 4 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
12 9 1 2 6 12:21 -9 5
W D L L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs