ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Abovyan City Stadium
FC Noah
Match Timeline
Ararat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
T. Oshima
FC Noah
14'
Matheus Aias
FC Noah
23'
N. Saintini · Assist: M. Jakolis
FC Noah
🟨
25'
A. Aslanyan
Ararat
28'
Matheus Aias · Assist: G. Sangare
FC Noah
🟨
43'
H. Ferreira
FC Noah
44'
K. Doumbia · Assist: G. Lulukyan
Ararat
🔄
46'
T. Oshima ↔ E. Boakye
FC Noah
🔄
46'
H. Hambardzumyan ↔ H. Harutyunyan
FC Noah
🔄
46'
C. Dombila ↔ V. Samsonyan
Ararat
47'
A. Ouattara · Assist: A. Meite
Ararat
54'
M. Jakolis · Assist: G. Sangare
FC Noah
57'
M. Jakolis · Assist: H. Harutyunyan
FC Noah
🔄
63'
G. Sangare ↔ I. Oulad Omar
FC Noah
🔄
63'
Matheus Aias ↔ N. Mulahusejnovic
FC Noah
🔄
66'
A. Ouattara ↔ M. Kante
Ararat
🔄
70'
A. Aslanyan ↔ P. Handzongo
Ararat
70'
G. Lulukyan
Ararat
🟨
72'
M. Berte
Ararat
75'
H. Ferreira
FC Noah
🔄
78'
A. Meite ↔ P. E. Obinna
Ararat
🟨
85'
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Ararat
86'
I. Oulad Omar
FC Noah
🔄
87'
M. Jakolis ↔ G. Manvelyan
FC Noah
89'
N. Mulahusejnovic · Assist: R. Nizet
FC Noah
🔄
90+2'
K. Doumbia ↔ A. Vardanyan
Ararat

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Noah Win 83%
Draw 0%
Ararat Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Noah1.91
Ararat0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Noah FC Noah
WWDLW
70 GF / 39 GA
Ararat Ararat
WLDWL
17 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
2.16
19
BTTS Yes
9
21
Over 2.5
13
2.27
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Noah FC Noah 40 matches
Ararat Ararat 25 matches
FC Noah Statistic Ararat
20 Wins 3
12 Draws 3
8 Losses 19
70 Goals For 17
39 Goals Against 54
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
0.98 Avg Goals Conceded 2.16
19 BTTS Yes 9
32 Over 1.5 20
21 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 7
18 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 14
2.27 Shots On Goal 0
7.47 Total Shots 0
1.8 Corners 0
35.1% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Noah's more proactive style and Ararat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Noah arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 49 points compared to Ararat in 10 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ararat. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ararat arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

FC Noah Analysis

FC Noah approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 49 points after 24 outings. With 14 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Ferreira (9 goals), N. Mulahusejnovic (9 goals), Matheus Aias (8 goals), with creative support from M. Jakolis (3 assists), G. Manvelyan (2 assists), I. Oulad Omar (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ararat Analysis

Ararat sit 10 with 12 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 17:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Eloyan (7 goals), A. Serobyan (7 goals), K. Doumbia (7 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Noah won 10 times, Ararat won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:12 from FC Noah's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Noah 4-3-3 / Ararat -
H2H summary: FC Noah wins 10, draws 2, Ararat wins 3

Lineups

FC Noah
Formation
Ararat
A. Coneglian
A. Coneglian
H. Hambardzumyan
H. Hambardzumyan
N. Saintini
N. Saintini
N. Zolotic
N. Zolotic
R. Nizet
🎯
R. Nizet
A. Khamoyan
A. Khamoyan
T. Oshima
T. Oshima
G. Sangare
🎯
G. Sangare
H. Ferreira
H. Ferreira
Matheus Aias
⚽ 2
Matheus Aias
M. Jakolis
⚽ 2 🎯
M. Jakolis
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
C. Dombila
C. Dombila
G. Lima
G. Lima
A. Kartashyan
A. Kartashyan
A. Aslanyan
A. Aslanyan
M. Berte
M. Berte
A. Ouattara
A. Ouattara
M. Fofana
M. Fofana
A. Meite
🎯
A. Meite
K. Doumbia
K. Doumbia
G. Lulukyan
🎯
G. Lulukyan
FC Noah 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
A. Coneglian
19
H. Hambardzumyan
↓ 46'
39
N. Saintini
⚽ 23'
44
N. Zolotic
4
R. Nizet
🎯 89'
23
A. Khamoyan
14
T. Oshima
↓ 46' 🟨 13'
17
G. Sangare
🎯 28' 🎯 54' ↓ 63'
7
H. Ferreira
⚽ 75' 🟨 43'
9
Matheus Aias
⚽ 14' ⚽ 28' ↓ 63'
47
M. Jakolis
⚽ 54' ⚽ 57' 🎯 23' ↓ 87'
Substitutes
92
A. Ploshchadnyi
24
Z. Khudaverdyan
88
Y. Eteki
6
E. Boakye
↑ 46'
99
H. Harutyunyan
🎯 57' ↑ 46'
10
G. Manvelyan
↑ 87'
11
I. Oulad Omar
⚽ 86' ↑ 63'
32
N. Mulahusejnovic
⚽ 89' ↑ 63'
18
A. Avanesyan
22
M. Hakobyan
74
M. Asiryan
37
G. Silva
Ararat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
🟨 85'
12
C. Dombila
↓ 46'
55
G. Lima
5
A. Kartashyan
30
A. Aslanyan
↓ 70' 🟨 25'
18
M. Berte
🟨 72'
25
A. Ouattara
⚽ 47' ↓ 66'
42
M. Fofana
20
A. Meite
🎯 47' ↓ 78'
15
K. Doumbia
⚽ 44' ↓ 90+2'
9
G. Lulukyan
⚽ 70' 🎯 44'
Substitutes
71
A. Martirosyan
4
V. Samsonyan
↑ 46'
38
M. Kante
↑ 66'
7
P. Handzongo
↑ 70'
32
D. Ukadike
6
O. Chukwu
14
P. E. Obinna
↑ 78'
19
S. Toure
70
A. Mkrtchyan
27
A. Vardanyan
↑ 90+2'
77
A. Aleksanyan
10
A. Grigoryan
Last matches: FC Noah
09.08.26
Pre
FC Noah
Shirak
4
3
W
06.08.26
UEF
FC Noah
FC Sion
2
2
D
02.08.26
Pre
FC Noah
Syunik
3
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
FC Noah
Zimbru
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
FC Noah
Zimbru
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
FC Noah
Syunik
2
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
FC Noah
Van
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
FC Noah
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Noah
Mura
1
1
D
28.06.26
Fri
FC Noah
Aluminij
2
0
W
23.06.26
Fri
FC Noah
Koper
0
2
L
27.05.26
Pre
FC Noah
FC Urartu
5
0
W
23.05.26
Pre
FC Noah
Pyunik Yerevan
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pre
FC Noah
Ararat-Armenia
4
0
W
06.05.26
Pre
FC Noah
Gandzasar
4
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
FC Noah
Pyunik Yerevan
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pre
FC Noah
Alashkert
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pre
FC Noah
Van
2
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
FC Noah
Gandzasar
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
FC Noah
BKMA
2
0
W
Last matches: Ararat
07.08.26
Pre
Ararat
Sardarapat
1
2
L
03.08.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
3
L
19.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Andranik
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
2
2
D
26.05.26
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Ararat
Shirak
1
0
W
H2H: FC Noah vs Ararat
19.05.26
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
8
3
W
27.10.25
H2H
Ararat
FC Noah
0
3
W
28.09.25
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
2
0
W
26.04.25
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
3
0
W
20.11.24
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
4
0
W
15.09.24
H2H
Ararat
FC Noah
2
1
L
09.05.24
H2H
Ararat
FC Noah
0
1
W
07.03.24
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
4
3
W
03.11.23
H2H
Ararat
FC Noah
0
2
W
31.08.23
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
3
0
W
20.05.23
H2H
Ararat
FC Noah
1
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
2
1
W
05.11.22
H2H
Ararat
FC Noah
2
1
L
03.09.22
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
0
0
D
19.04.22
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Noah
06.08.26
UEF
FC Noah
FC Sion
2
2
D
02.08.26
Pre
FC Noah
Syunik
3
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
FC Noah
Zimbru
2
1
W
16.07.26
Fri
FC Noah
Syunik
2
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
FC Noah
Van
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
FC Noah
Pyunik Yerevan
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pre
FC Noah
Van
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
FC Noah
BKMA
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
FC Noah
Shirak
3
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
FC Noah
FC Astana
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
FC Noah
Yunnan Yukun
5
5
D
11.12.25
UEF
FC Noah
Legia Warszawa
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
FC Noah
BKMA
2
3
L
22.11.25
Pre
FC Noah
Alashkert
2
2
D
06.11.25
UEF
FC Noah
Sigma Olomouc
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
FC Noah
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
FC Noah
FC Urartu
0
0
D
02.10.25
UEF
FC Noah
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pre
FC Noah
Ararat
2
0
W
H2H at home: FC Noah
19.05.26
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
8
3
W
28.09.25
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
2
0
W
26.04.25
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
3
0
W
20.11.24
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
4
0
W
07.03.24
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
4
3
W
31.08.23
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
3
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
2
1
W
03.09.22
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
0
0
D
19.04.22
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
0
0
D
Last matches: Ararat
03.08.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
3
L
01.05.26
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
14.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
0
4
L
28.09.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
0
2
L
19.09.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
6
L
12.09.25
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
4
L
30.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
2
4
L
16.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
3
L
01.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
H2H away: Ararat
19.05.26
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
8
3
L
28.09.25
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
2
0
L
26.04.25
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
3
0
L
20.11.24
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
4
0
L
07.03.24
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
4
3
L
31.08.23
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
3
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
2
1
L
03.09.22
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
0
0
D
19.04.22
H2H
FC Noah
Ararat
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation