ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Abovyan City Stadium
FC Noah
Match Timeline
Ararat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
T. Oshima
FC Noah
14'
Matheus Aias
FC Noah
23'
N. Saintini · Assist: M. Jakolis
FC Noah
🟨
25'
A. Aslanyan
Ararat
28'
Matheus Aias · Assist: G. Sangare
FC Noah
🟨
43'
H. Ferreira
FC Noah
44'
K. Doumbia · Assist: G. Lulukyan
Ararat
🔄
46'
T. Oshima ↔ E. Boakye
FC Noah
🔄
46'
H. Hambardzumyan ↔ H. Harutyunyan
FC Noah
🔄
46'
C. Dombila ↔ V. Samsonyan
Ararat
47'
A. Ouattara · Assist: A. Meite
Ararat
54'
M. Jakolis · Assist: G. Sangare
FC Noah
57'
M. Jakolis · Assist: H. Harutyunyan
FC Noah
🔄
63'
G. Sangare ↔ I. Oulad Omar
FC Noah
🔄
63'
Matheus Aias ↔ N. Mulahusejnovic
FC Noah
🔄
66'
A. Ouattara ↔ M. Kante
Ararat
🔄
70'
A. Aslanyan ↔ P. Handzongo
Ararat
70'
G. Lulukyan
Ararat
🟨
72'
M. Berte
Ararat
75'
H. Ferreira
FC Noah
🔄
78'
A. Meite ↔ P. E. Obinna
Ararat
🟨
85'
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Ararat
86'
I. Oulad Omar
FC Noah
🔄
87'
M. Jakolis ↔ G. Manvelyan
FC Noah
89'
N. Mulahusejnovic · Assist: R. Nizet
FC Noah
🔄
90+2'
K. Doumbia ↔ A. Vardanyan
Ararat

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Noah Win 83%
Draw 0%
Ararat Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Noah1.91
Ararat0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Noah FC Noah
WWDLW
70 GF / 39 GA
Ararat Ararat
WLDWL
17 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
2.16
19
BTTS Yes
9
21
Over 2.5
13
2.27
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Noah FC Noah 40 matches
Ararat Ararat 25 matches
FC Noah Statistic Ararat
20 Wins 3
12 Draws 3
8 Losses 19
70 Goals For 17
39 Goals Against 54
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
0.98 Avg Goals Conceded 2.16
19 BTTS Yes 9
32 Over 1.5 20
21 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 7
18 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 14
2.27 Shots On Goal 0
7.47 Total Shots 0
1.8 Corners 0
35.1% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Noah's more proactive style and Ararat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Noah arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 49 points compared to Ararat in 10 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ararat. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ararat arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

FC Noah Analysis

FC Noah approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 49 points after 24 outings. With 14 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Ferreira (9 goals), N. Mulahusejnovic (9 goals), Matheus Aias (8 goals), with creative support from M. Jakolis (3 assists), G. Manvelyan (2 assists), I. Oulad Omar (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ararat Analysis

Ararat sit 10 with 12 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 17:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Eloyan (7 goals), A. Serobyan (7 goals), K. Doumbia (7 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Noah won 10 times, Ararat won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:12 from FC Noah's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Noah 4-1-4-1 / Ararat -
H2H summary: FC Noah wins 10, draws 2, Ararat wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation