DENMARK SUPERLIGA
14.09.2026 17:00
MCH Arena

FC Midtjylland vs Brondby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Midtjylland Win 58.1%
Draw 7.8%
Brondby Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Midtjylland1.92
Brondby1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
WWDLW
51 GF / 29 GA
Brondby Brondby
WLDWL
34 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.32
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
13
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
10
5.15
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 22 matches
Brondby Brondby 16 matches
FC Midtjylland Statistic Brondby
14 Wins 8
5 Draws 4
3 Losses 4
51 Goals For 34
29 Goals Against 21
2.32 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 1
5.15 Shots On Goal 3.57
12.77 Total Shots 16.57
5.31 Corners 7.43
47.7% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brondby. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Midtjylland expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Brondby in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Brondby having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Midtjylland Analysis

FC Midtjylland come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 14 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 10:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Etim (2 goals), S. Iheanacho (2 goals), Darío Osorio (1 goals), with creative support from F. Etim (2 assists), Darío Osorio (2 assists), Valdemar Byskov (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Brondby Analysis

Brondby come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 13 points after 7 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 11:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Frøkjær-Jensen (2 goals), L. Binks (1 goals), B. Slisz (1 goals), with creative support from L. Binks (2 assists), M. Ejdum (2 assists), B. Slisz (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Midtjylland won 5 times, Brondby won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from FC Midtjylland's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Midtjylland 4-5-1 / Brondby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Midtjylland wins 5, draws 1, Brondby wins 9

Standings

Superliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
2 7 4 3 0 12:7 5 15
D W D W D
3 7 4 2 1 11:6 5 14
D L W W W
4 7 4 1 2 10:6 4 13
L W W W D
5 7 4 1 2 11:10 1 13
L L W W W
6 7 3 1 3 13:12 1 10
W L W W L
7 7 3 1 3 8:8 0 10
W W L L W
8 7 1 3 3 9:11 -2 6
W D L D L
9 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D D L L W
10 7 1 2 4 5:12 -7 5
L D D L L
11 7 0 4 3 9:13 -4 4
D L L D L
12 7 0 1 6 7:18 -11 1
L L L L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs