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05.11.2026 17:45
MCH Arena
Referee: P. Raczkowski

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.47 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Midtjylland Win 33%
Draw 22.7%
Ajax Win 44.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Midtjylland1.82
Ajax2.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
W W L W D
9 GF / 7 GA
Ajax Ajax
W W W W L
11 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.23
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
20
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
20
4.95
Shots on Goal
7.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 30 matches
Ajax Ajax 28 matches
FC Midtjylland Statistic Ajax
19 Wins 18
7 Draws 6
4 Losses 4
67 Goals For 70
39 Goals Against 34
2.23 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
20 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 24
17 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 17
7 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 1
4.95 Shots On Goal 7.95
12.9 Total Shots 21.53
4.86 Corners 7.16
46.5% Ball Possession 61.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FC Midtjylland won 0 times, Ajax won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from FC Midtjylland's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: FC Midtjylland 3-1-4-2 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Midtjylland wins 0, draws 0, Ajax wins 2

Standings

UEFA Conference League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:2 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
9 2 1 1 0 4:0 4 4
D W
10 2 1 1 0 5:2 3 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
D W
13
Ajax Away
2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
14 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
16 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:5 -2 3
L W
19 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
20 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
21 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
22 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
D L
23 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
24 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
25 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
27 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
L D
29 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
D L
30 2 0 1 1 3:6 -3 1
L D
31 2 0 1 1 2:6 -4 1
L D
32 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:8 -7 0
L L
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)