Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
FC Lugano Win 0%
Draw 0%
FC Luzern Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Lugano2.16
FC Luzern1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Lugano
WWDLW
34 GF / 18 GA
FC Luzern
WLDWL
16 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
2
10
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
8
7.71
Shots on Goal
3.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Lugano
15 matches
FC Luzern
9 matches
| FC Lugano | Statistic | FC Luzern |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 34 | Goals For | 16 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 2.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 7.71 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 19.71 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 6.86 | Corners | 7.67 |
| 61.7% | Ball Possession | 44.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Lugano won 7 times, FC Luzern won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:22 from FC Lugano's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: FC Lugano 3-4-1-2 / FC Luzern 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Lugano wins 7, draws 3, FC Luzern wins 5
Last matches: FC Lugano
13.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
2
D
09.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
5
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
0
W
02.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
4
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
5
1
W
26.07.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
1. FC Heidenheim
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Memmingen
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
4
0
W
14.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Sion
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Taverne
1
3
L
Last matches: FC Luzern
09.08.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
2
2
D
02.08.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
0
3
L
25.07.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
St. Truiden
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
FC Luzern
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3
2
W
16.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
0
W
12.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
3
3
D
02.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
3
1
W
25.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
2
2
D
06.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
0
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
4
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
1
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
3
1
W
04.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
1
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
4
2
W
H2H: FC Lugano vs FC Luzern
07.03.26
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
3
L
17.01.26
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
2
5
W
30.10.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
0
W
04.05.25
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
0
2
W
15.02.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
0
W
07.12.24
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
1
4
W
11.08.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
3
L
03.03.24
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
0
1
W
03.12.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
0
W
03.09.23
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
3
2
L
07.05.23
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
2
2
D
12.02.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
1
D
22.10.22
H2H
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
3
1
L
07.08.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
2
L
21.04.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
2
D
Last matches: FC Lugano
09.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
5
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
0
W
26.07.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
4
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Taverne
1
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
3
L
04.03.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Sion
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Lausanne
2
1
W
11.02.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Servette FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Winterthur
4
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Plzen
2
4
L
05.01.26
Fri
FC Lugano
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
21.12.25
Sup
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
3
0
W
H2H at home: FC Lugano
07.03.26
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
3
L
30.10.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
0
W
11.08.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
3
L
03.12.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
0
W
12.02.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
2
L
21.04.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
2
D
Last matches: FC Luzern
09.08.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
2
2
D
02.08.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
0
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
FC Luzern
FC WIL 1900
2
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
3
1
W
25.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Grasshoppers
2
1
W
06.04.26
Sup
FC Luzern
Servette FC
0
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
3
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
4
1
W
07.02.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
0
0
D
24.01.26
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Sion
1
1
D
05.01.26
Fri
FC Luzern
VfB Stuttgart
2
3
L
21.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
Lausanne
4
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
0
2
L
06.12.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Thun
1
4
L
08.11.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Zurich
2
3
L
30.10.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
0
2
L
25.10.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Winterthur
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
2
1
W
H2H away: FC Luzern
07.03.26
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
3
W
30.10.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
0
L
11.08.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
3
W
03.12.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
0
L
12.02.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
2
W
21.04.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
2
2
D
Standings
Super League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
Home
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
FC Luzern
Away
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs