Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Lugano
38 matches
BSC Young Boys
44 matches
| FC Lugano | Statistic | BSC Young Boys |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 18 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 17 |
| 55 | Goals For | 80 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 80 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 39 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.29 | Shots On Goal | 5.05 |
| 12.42 | Total Shots | 13.73 |
| 3.58 | Corners | 5.05 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Lugano expected to line up in 3-4-3 and BSC Young Boys in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward BSC Young Boys having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring BSC Young Boys.
FC Lugano come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 60 points after 34 matches. The return of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 51:38, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kevin Behrens (11 goals), A. Grgic (7 goals), R. Steffen (6 goals), with creative support from D. Dos Santos (10 assists), A. Grgic (5 assists), R. Steffen (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
From their first 34 matches, BSC Young Boys have collected 48 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 66:62 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Chris Bedia (16 goals), C. Fassnacht (15 goals), A. Sanches (9 goals), with creative support from C. Fassnacht (7 assists), A. Virginius (7 assists), A. Sanches (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Lugano won 5 times, BSC Young Boys won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from FC Lugano's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
FC Lugano
7
1
5
10
3
3
Lineups
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
FC Lugano
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Lugano
Memmingen
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Lugano
Taverne
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
FC Lugano
Lausanne
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
Étoile Carouge
BSC Young Boys
Plzen
BSC Young Boys
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
BSC Young Boys
Austria Lustenau
BSC Young Boys
FC Sion
BSC Young Boys
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
Servette FC
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
Lausanne
BSC Young Boys
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
FC Zurich
BSC Young Boys
FC Sion
BSC Young Boys
FC Winterthur
BSC Young Boys
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
Grasshoppers
BSC Young Boys
FC Zurich
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Lugano
Taverne
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Lugano
Lausanne
FC Lugano
Servette FC
FC Lugano
FC Winterthur
FC Lugano
Plzen
FC Lugano
1. FC Köln
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
Servette FC
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
Plzen
BSC Young Boys
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
BSC Young Boys
Austria Lustenau
BSC Young Boys
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
Lausanne
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
BSC Young Boys
FC Sion
BSC Young Boys
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
Grasshoppers
BSC Young Boys
VfB Stuttgart
BSC Young Boys
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
Lask Linz
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Sion
BSC Young Boys
Servette FC
BSC Young Boys
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
PAOK
BSC Young Boys
Grasshoppers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 24 | 60 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
FC Lugano
Home
|
33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 12 | 57 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 52 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
BSC Young Boys
Away
|
33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 5 | 48 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 7 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 3 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 0 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | -10 | 39 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | -18 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | -25 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | -51 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|