ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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A. Le Coq Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.1%
1.20
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 70.1%
Draw 3.9%
Tammeka Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn2.15
Tammeka1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
83 GF / 31 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
37 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.59
Average Goals Scored
1.37
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
21
BTTS Yes
13
24
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 32 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 27 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Tammeka
22 Wins 13
6 Draws 3
4 Losses 11
83 Goals For 37
31 Goals Against 40
2.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
21 BTTS Yes 13
29 Over 1.5 17
24 Over 2.5 15
16 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Tammeka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tammeka. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 46 points compared to Tammeka in 6 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 46 points after 19 matches. The return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 49:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka are currently 6 in the standings with 26 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 21:26 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 13 times, Tammeka won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 39:13 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 13, draws 2, Tammeka wins 0
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
21.08.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
4
0
W
16.08.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
2
1
W
09.08.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
5
0
W
02.08.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
IFK Goteborg
1
3
L
21.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
IFK Goteborg
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
04.07.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
Last matches: Tammeka
22.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
14.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
0
W
02.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
5
L
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
05.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
H2H: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka
30.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
W
22.04.26
H2H
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
W
08.02.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
05.10.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
26.04.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
0
W
08.03.25
H2H
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
W
18.01.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
W
16.08.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
W
16.06.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
W
24.11.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
21.10.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
21.08.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
4
0
W
09.08.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
5
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
IFK Goteborg
1
3
L
16.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
4
L
14.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
1
3
L
23.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Iberia 1999
1
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H at home: FC Levadia Tallinn
08.02.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
05.10.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
0
W
26.04.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
0
W
18.01.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
W
16.08.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
W
16.06.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
24.11.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
21.10.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
Last matches: Tammeka
14.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
0
W
02.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
5
L
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H away: Tammeka
08.02.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
L
05.10.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
0
L
26.04.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
0
L
18.01.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
L
16.08.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
3
1
L
16.06.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
L
24.11.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
L
21.10.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 6.00
Home 1.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.53
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 3.40
Home 1.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.75
Draw 5.80
Home 1.23
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 4.00
Home 1.98
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.85
Home 2.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.16
Over 3.5 1.45
Over 4.5 2.00
Over 5.5 3.05
Over 6.5 4.80
Under 2.5 4.20
Under 3.5 2.43
Under 4.5 1.65
Under 5.5 1.30
Under 6.5 1.12

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 5 1 61:18 43 56
W W W D W
2 23 13 5 5 43:18 25 44
W W W D W
3 21 13 0 8 42:24 18 39
L W L W W
4 22 10 6 6 34:29 5 36
D W L W D
5 20 9 2 9 23:31 -8 29
W L L W W
6 22 8 3 11 30:42 -12 27
L D L W L
7 23 8 1 14 40:54 -14 25
L L L W W
8 23 8 1 14 33:40 -7 25
L L L W W
9 23 7 3 13 25:38 -13 24
W W L D L
10 24 5 2 17 18:55 -37 17
L D L W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga