ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
09.08.2026 16:00
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: K. Laane
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Nõmme United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
G. Lehtmets · Assist: R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
30'
R. Peetson · Assist: M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
34'
G. Lehtmets ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn
45'
Wendell
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
46'
M. Roosnupp ↔ M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
46'
Joao Pedro ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
47'
Wendell · Assist: M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟥
60'
Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
🔄
62'
G. Kabal ↔ B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
62'
K. Matas ↔ B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🔄
62'
E. Ounapuu ↔ A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🔄
62'
M. Palts ↔ H. Jarvelaid
Nõmme United
🔄
76'
R. Peetson ↔ Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
76'
I. Krasnov ↔ A. Radomskiy
Nõmme United
🔄
79'
A. Nwankwo ↔ T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
87'
Wendell · Assist: M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Nõmme United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 51.7%
Draw 12.5%
Nõmme United Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn2.44
Nõmme United1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
72 GF / 30 GA
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WLDWL
60 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
2.48
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
2.39
20
BTTS Yes
24
21
Over 2.5
27
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 29 matches
Nõmme United Nõmme United 28 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Nõmme United
19 Wins 12
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 14
72 Goals For 60
30 Goals Against 67
2.48 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 2.39
20 BTTS Yes 24
26 Over 1.5 28
21 Over 2.5 27
14 Over 3.5 18
8 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Nõmme United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nõmme United. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 46 points compared to Nõmme United in 7 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 46 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 49:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Nõmme United Analysis

Nõmme United are currently 7 in the standings with 25 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 40:48 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 6 times, Nõmme United won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:8 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Levadia Tallinn 4-1-3-2 / Nõmme United 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 6, draws 2, Nõmme United wins 1

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga