ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
09.05.2026 11:30
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: K. Tohver
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Laagri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
M. Kesa ↔ H. Palutaja
Laagri
39'
Wendell · Assist: M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
41'
M. Roosnupp · Assist: R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
45+2'
A. Nwankwo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
58'
H. Palutaja
Laagri
🔄
59'
S. Soo ↔ M. Kelement
Laagri
🔄
59'
R. Sillamaa ↔ J. Ndakala
Laagri
🔄
65'
Wendell ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
65'
M. Skvortsov ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
73'
K. Laur
Laagri
🔄
74'
F. Liivak ↔ Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
79'
I. Kartau ↔ R. Reimaa
Laagri
🔄
79'
A. Binate ↔ K. Ennuste
Laagri
🔄
84'
B. Tambedou ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn
90'
E. Otoo · Assist: J. Saliste
FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 60.1%
Draw 9.1%
Laagri Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn2.01
Laagri1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
35 GF / 17 GA
Laagri Laagri
WLDWL
30 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 15 matches
Laagri Laagri 17 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Laagri
9 Wins 9
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
35 Goals For 30
17 Goals Against 26
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
10 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Laagri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Laagri. FC Levadia Tallinn come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 24 points compared to Laagri in 5 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Laagri having the stronger overall control.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 24 points after 10 matches. With 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:8, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Tambedou (9 goals), Wendell (4 goals), E. Otoo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Skvortsov (5 assists), M. Ainsalu (4 assists), J. Saliste (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Laagri Analysis

Placed 5 with 16 points from 10 outings, Laagri continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Eerme (3 goals), A. Binate (2 goals), A. Jarve (2 goals), with creative support from Rudenko Daniil (5 assists), K. Eerme (1 assists), A. Binate (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 8 times, Laagri won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:8 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: FC Levadia Tallinn - / Laagri 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 8, draws 2, Laagri wins 1

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 5 1 64:20 44 59
W W W W D
2 25 13 5 7 45:22 23 44
L L W W W
3 24 14 0 10 46:30 16 42
L L W L W
4 24 12 6 6 40:31 9 42
W W D W L
5 23 12 2 9 29:32 -3 38
W W W W L
6 25 10 1 14 36:41 -5 31
W W L L L
7 24 8 4 12 33:46 -13 28
D L L D L
8 25 8 1 16 42:60 -18 25
L L L L L
9 25 7 4 14 27:41 -14 25
D L W W L
10 25 5 2 18 18:57 -39 17
L L D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga