ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: J. Jaanovits
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
Wendell · Assist: M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
38'
R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
55'
I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
67'
Wendell ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
70'
Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
70'
F. Liivak ↔ Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
70'
S. Zenjov ↔ R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🔄
70'
R. Valdmets ↔ M. Kalimullin
Flora Tallinn
🟨
72'
S. Tovstik
Flora Tallinn
🔄
79'
S. Tovstik ↔ D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn
🔄
79'
T. Varjund ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
81'
S. Alamaa · Assist: D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn
🔄
84'
S. Alamaa ↔ A. Kaares
Flora Tallinn
🟨
85'
M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
87'
B. Tambedou ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
87'
M. Skvortsov ↔ M. Sambe
FC Levadia Tallinn
90'
T. Usta · Assist: D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.2%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 48.1%
Draw 8.9%
Flora Tallinn Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn1.91
Flora Tallinn1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
54 GF / 22 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
44 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.45
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
15
BTTS Yes
8
15
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 22 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 23 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Flora Tallinn
15 Wins 14
5 Draws 1
2 Losses 8
54 Goals For 44
22 Goals Against 25
2.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
15 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flora Tallinn.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 43 points after 17 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a 45:13 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on B. Tambedou (13 goals), Wendell (9 goals), M. Ainsalu (5 goals), with creative support from M. Ainsalu (6 assists), M. Skvortsov (5 assists), M. Roosnupp (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 30 points from 15 games, Flora Tallinn bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:16, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Sappinen (9 goals), S. Zenjov (5 goals), S. Alamaa (4 goals), with creative support from S. Alamaa (6 assists), R. Sappinen (4 assists), S. Zenjov (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 7 times, Flora Tallinn won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 7, draws 1, Flora Tallinn wins 7

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 5 1 64:20 44 59
W W W W D
2 25 13 5 7 45:22 23 44
L L W W W
3 24 14 0 10 46:30 16 42
L L W L W
4 24 12 6 6 40:31 9 42
W W D W L
5 23 12 2 9 29:32 -3 38
W W W W L
6 25 10 1 14 36:41 -5 31
W W L L L
7 24 8 4 12 33:46 -13 28
D L L D L
8 25 8 1 16 42:60 -18 25
L L L L L
9 25 7 4 14 27:41 -14 25
D L W W L
10 25 5 2 18 18:57 -39 17
L L D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga