Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FC Krasnodar
FC Orenburg
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Krasnodar
29 matches
FC Orenburg
29 matches
| FC Krasnodar | Statistic | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 4 | Losses | 14 |
| 57 | Goals For | 29 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.9 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 15.48 | Total Shots | 12.31 |
| 5.17 | Corners | 5.41 |
| 59.6% | Ball Possession | 47.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Krasnodar's more proactive style and FC Orenburg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Orenburg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. FC Krasnodar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 63 points compared to FC Orenburg in 11 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Operating from 2 place with 63 points from 29 games, FC Krasnodar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 19 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 57:23, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Cordoba (16 goals), E. Spertsyan (12 goals), Nikita Krivtsov (7 goals), with creative support from E. Spertsyan (16 assists), J. Cordoba (5 assists), Joao Batxi (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
FC Orenburg are currently 11 in the standings with 29 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 29:41 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Thompson (5 goals), E. Gurluk (4 goals), Alexandre Jesus (3 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (5 assists), Du Queiroz (2 assists), E. Gurluk (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Krasnodar won 9 times, FC Orenburg won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:13 from FC Krasnodar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
FC Krasnodar
10
2
9
3
3
3
Lineups
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
Akron
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Yelimay Semey
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
FK Neftekhimik
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Akron
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Kairat Almaty
FC Orenburg
Alashkert
FC Orenburg
Bunyodkor
FC Orenburg
Mornar
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
PSK Dinskaya
FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Krasnodar
Baltika
FC Krasnodar
Amkal
FC Krasnodar
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Yelimay Semey
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
FC Krasnodar
Rubin
FC Krasnodar
Akhmat
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Akron
FC Krasnodar
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
FC Orenburg
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Akron
FC Orenburg
Baltika
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
FC Krasnodar
Home
|
30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Orenburg
Away
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|