UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Referee: A. Kovalenko
FC Kharkiv
Match Timeline
Polessya
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
M. Bragaru · Assist: I. Krasnopir
Polessya
🔄
61'
I. Krasnopir ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🔄
62'
M. Bragaru ↔ O. Nazarenko
Polessya
🔄
62'
L. Emerllahu ↔ O. Fedor
Polessya
🔄
66'
D. Antyukh ↔ Ari Moura
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
66'
V. Kalitvintsev ↔ S. Castillo
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
78'
O. Martynyuk ↔ V. Salyuk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
78'
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro ↔ B. Zabergja
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
78'
E. Rashica ↔ C. Mba
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
79'
O. Andriyevski ↔ V. Shepelev
Polessya
🟨
89'
Volodymyr Shepelev
Polessya
🔄
89'
G. Maisuradze ↔ K. Koberniuk
Polessya

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
49.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Kharkiv Win 51.4%
Draw 0%
Polessya Win 48.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Kharkiv1.1
Polessya1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv
WWDLW
31 GF / 14 GA
Polessya Polessya
WLDWL
55 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
8
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
16
2.83
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv 25 matches
Polessya Polessya 31 matches
FC Kharkiv Statistic Polessya
12 Wins 17
9 Draws 4
4 Losses 10
31 Goals For 55
14 Goals Against 28
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
8 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 24
6 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 15
8 Failed To Score 8
2.83 Shots On Goal 3.86
10.04 Total Shots 10.57
4.74 Corners 3.89
39.3% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Polessya. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Metalist 1925 Kharkiv expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Polessya in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Polessya having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Kharkiv Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 45 points from 25 games, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with a 31:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on P. Itodo (8 goals), D. Antyukh (4 goals), C. Mba (3 goals), with creative support from D. Antyukh (4 assists), Vladyslav Kalitvintsev (3 assists), Ilya Krupskyi (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Polessya Analysis

Polessya approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 49 points after 25 outings. The return of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 44:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Gayduchyk (8 goals), O. Gutsulyak (8 goals), Eduard Sarapiyy (5 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (5 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), Oleksandr Andriyevskyi (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, FC Kharkiv won 0 times, Polessya won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from FC Kharkiv's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Kharkiv 4-1-4-1 / Polessya 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Kharkiv wins 0, draws 4, Polessya wins 3

Lineups

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Formation
Polessya
D. Varakuta
D. Varakuta
I. Krupskyi
I. Krupskyi
Y. Pavlyuk
Y. Pavlyuk
A. Shabanov
A. Shabanov
O. Martynyuk
O. Martynyuk
I. Kaliuzhnyi
I. Kaliuzhnyi
D. Antyukh
D. Antyukh
V. Kalitvintsev
V. Kalitvintsev
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro
E. Rashica
E. Rashica
P. Itodo
P. Itodo
Y. Volynets
Y. Volynets
G. Maisuradze
G. Maisuradze
S. Chobotenko
S. Chobotenko
E. Sarapiy
E. Sarapiy
B. Mykhaylichenko
B. Mykhaylichenko
R. Babenko
R. Babenko
O. Gutsulyak
O. Gutsulyak
O. Andriyevski
O. Andriyevski
L. Emerllahu
L. Emerllahu
M. Bragaru
M. Bragaru
I. Krasnopir
🎯
I. Krasnopir
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
D. Varakuta
G
27
I. Krupskyi
D
18
Y. Pavlyuk
D
31
A. Shabanov
D
24
O. Martynyuk
↓ 78'
D
5
I. Kaliuzhnyi
M
15
D. Antyukh
↓ 66'
M
45
V. Kalitvintsev
↓ 66'
M
16
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro
↓ 78'
M
19
E. Rashica
↓ 78'
M
98
P. Itodo
F
Substitutes
23
Y. Protsenko
2
D. Kapinus
D
7
Ari Moura
↑ 66'
M
8
S. Castillo
↑ 66'
F
11
V. Churko
M
13
V. Salyuk
↑ 78'
D
14
R. Gadzhyev
M
17
I. Kogut
M
26
B. Zabergja
↑ 78'
M
37
V. Dubko
D
77
Cauan Baptistella
M
99
C. Mba
↑ 78'
F
Polessya 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
Y. Volynets
G
31
G. Maisuradze
↓ 89'
D
44
S. Chobotenko
D
5
E. Sarapiy
D
15
B. Mykhaylichenko
D
8
R. Babenko
M
11
O. Gutsulyak
M
18
O. Andriyevski
↓ 79'
M
14
L. Emerllahu
↓ 62'
M
45
M. Bragaru
⚽ 20' ↓ 62'
M
95
I. Krasnopir
🎯 20' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
21
G. Bushchan
G
1
O. Kudryk
G
4
M. Kravchenko
D
7
O. Nazarenko
↑ 62'
M
9
O. Filippov
F
19
V. Shepelev
↑ 79' 🟨 89'
M
27
O. Fedor
↑ 62'
M
29
B. Tomandzoto
M
30
B. Lednev
M
35
K. Koberniuk
↑ 89'
D
60
M. Melnychenko
D
89
M. Gayduchyk
↑ 61'
F
Last matches: FC Kharkiv
10.08.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
1
3
L
02.08.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Livyi Bereh
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
FC Schalke 04
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Hradec Králové
3
3
D
15.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
10.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Wolfsberger AC
3
3
D
09.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Red Bull Salzburg
0
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
BSC Young Boys
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Qarabag
6
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Karpaty
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Kudrivka
1
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
Last matches: Polessya
10.08.26
Pre
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Polessya
Chornomorets
2
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
1
2
L
23.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Sabah FA
4
1
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
3
L
08.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
H2H: FC Kharkiv vs Polessya
10.08.26
H2H
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
3
1
L
03.05.26
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
0
1
L
03.11.25
H2H
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
3
3
D
11.11.23
H2H
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
2
1
L
05.04.21
H2H
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
0
0
D
05.10.20
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Kharkiv
01.08.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
FC Schalke 04
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Hradec Králové
3
3
D
05.07.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
BSC Young Boys
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Karpaty
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Kudrivka
1
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
19.03.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
SK Poltava
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Oleksandria
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Kryvbas KR
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Jeonbuk Motors
1
1
D
05.02.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Hammarby FF
3
4
L
05.02.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Seattle Sounders
3
0
W
29.01.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
CF Montreal
3
2
W
23.01.26
Fri
FC Kharkiv
Pardubice
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pre
FC Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
1
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
FC Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
L
H2H at home: FC Kharkiv
03.05.26
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
0
1
L
19.05.24
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
3
3
D
05.10.20
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
0
0
D
Last matches: Polessya
02.08.26
Pre
Polessya
Chornomorets
2
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
1
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
3
L
20.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
18.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kudrivka
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Polessya
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Polessya
Kolos Kovalivka
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Zbrojovka Brno
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Toronto FC
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Granada CF
4
3
W
06.02.26
Fri
Polessya
BK Hacken
5
1
W
19.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
0
1
L
H2H away: Polessya
03.05.26
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
0
1
W
19.05.24
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
3
3
D
05.10.20
H2H
FC Kharkiv
Polessya
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga