UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
03.05.2026 12:30
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Referee: A. Kovalenko
FC Kharkiv
Match Timeline
Polessya
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
M. Bragaru · Assist: I. Krasnopir
Polessya
🔄
61'
I. Krasnopir ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🔄
62'
M. Bragaru ↔ O. Nazarenko
Polessya
🔄
62'
L. Emerllahu ↔ O. Fedor
Polessya
🔄
66'
D. Antyukh ↔ Ari Moura
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
66'
V. Kalitvintsev ↔ S. Castillo
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
78'
O. Martynyuk ↔ V. Salyuk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
78'
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro ↔ B. Zabergja
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
78'
E. Rashica ↔ C. Mba
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
79'
O. Andriyevski ↔ V. Shepelev
Polessya
🟨
89'
Volodymyr Shepelev
Polessya
🔄
89'
G. Maisuradze ↔ K. Koberniuk
Polessya

FC Kharkiv vs Polessya Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
49.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Kharkiv Win 51.4%
Draw 0%
Polessya Win 48.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Kharkiv1.1
Polessya1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv
WWDLW
31 GF / 14 GA
Polessya Polessya
WLDWL
55 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
8
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
16
2.83
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv 25 matches
Polessya Polessya 31 matches
FC Kharkiv Statistic Polessya
12 Wins 17
9 Draws 4
4 Losses 10
31 Goals For 55
14 Goals Against 28
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
8 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 24
6 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 15
8 Failed To Score 8
2.83 Shots On Goal 3.86
10.04 Total Shots 10.57
4.74 Corners 3.89
39.3% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Polessya. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Metalist 1925 Kharkiv expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Polessya in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Polessya having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Kharkiv Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 45 points from 25 games, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with a 31:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on P. Itodo (8 goals), D. Antyukh (4 goals), C. Mba (3 goals), with creative support from D. Antyukh (4 assists), Vladyslav Kalitvintsev (3 assists), Ilya Krupskyi (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Polessya Analysis

Polessya approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 49 points after 25 outings. The return of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 44:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Gayduchyk (8 goals), O. Gutsulyak (8 goals), Eduard Sarapiyy (5 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (5 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), Oleksandr Andriyevskyi (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, FC Kharkiv won 0 times, Polessya won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from FC Kharkiv's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Kharkiv 4-1-4-1 / Polessya 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Kharkiv wins 0, draws 4, Polessya wins 3

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga