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18.10.2026 12:00
Porin Stadion
FC jazz
Match Timeline
KuPS Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
J. Riihela
FC jazz
⚽
13'
J. Kivijarvi · Assist: J. Kivijarvi
KuPS Akatemia
⚽
14'
E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia
⚽
26'
J. Pulla
FC jazz
🔄
46'
A. Luhtanen ↔ P. Salminen
FC jazz
🟨
47'
J. Marttila
FC jazz
🔄
63'
L. Paasisalo ↔ R. Tikkanen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
63'
P. Hautakangas ↔ R. Tahkola
KuPS Akatemia
⚽
67'
J. Pulla
FC jazz
⚽
69'
V. Lahtela
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
70'
J. Pulla ↔ C. Harjanne
FC jazz
🔄
70'
J. Lemio ↔ E. Lamberg
FC jazz
🔄
70'
E. Karkkainen ↔ D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
87'
E. Erguner ↔ A. Niskanen
KuPS Akatemia

FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC jazz Win 67.6%
Draw 4.9%
KuPS Akatemia Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC jazz1.84
KuPS Akatemia1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC jazz FC jazz
L W L W W
9 GF / 9 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
L L L L L
6 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
2.37
16
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC jazz FC jazz 27 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 27 matches
FC jazz Statistic KuPS Akatemia
11 Wins 3
6 Draws 6
10 Losses 18
40 Goals For 42
42 Goals Against 64
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 2.37
16 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 23
9 Over 3.5 16
6 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC jazz's more proactive style and KuPS Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward KuPS Akatemia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KuPS Akatemia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control. FC jazz arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 39 points compared to KuPS Akatemia in 12 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC jazz Analysis

From their first 25 matches, FC jazz have collected 39 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 38:32 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

With 15 points from 26 games and a place of 12, KuPS Akatemia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 42:63 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, FC jazz won 2 times, KuPS Akatemia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from FC jazz's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: FC jazz wins 2, draws 1, KuPS Akatemia wins 2

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 6 5 60:27 33 54
D W W L W
2 27 13 9 5 59:39 20 48
D W W L D
3 27 14 6 7 59:47 12 48
W W L W W
4 27 12 10 5 48:34 14 46
W W W W W
5 27 11 8 8 52:41 11 41
L L W W D
6 27 11 7 9 41:40 1 40
D L W L W
7 27 10 8 9 47:47 0 38
L L L W L
8 27 9 7 11 62:61 1 34
W L L L L
9 27 8 6 13 46:55 -9 30
D W W W L
10 27 8 6 13 40:50 -10 30
L W L L W
11 27 5 4 18 28:80 -52 19
D L L W L
12 27 3 7 17 44:65 -21 16
D L L L L