FINLAND YKKöNEN
30.07.2026 16:00
Porin Stadion
FC jazz
Match Timeline
KuPS Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
K. Prince Ume
KuPS Akatemia
16'
R. Tahkola
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
24'
J. Lemio ↔ A. Luhtanen
FC jazz
🔄
46'
E. Vare ↔ F. Lamminen
FC jazz
🔄
46'
E. Tuominen ↔ J. Pulla
FC jazz
🟨
58'
J. Nuorela
FC jazz
63'
J. Pulla
FC jazz
65'
J. Lakkamaki
FC jazz
🔄
66'
R. Tahkola ↔ V. Lahtela
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
67'
L. Paasisalo ↔ D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
73'
A. Luhtanen
FC jazz
🔄
75'
A. Baseme ↔ A. Tahkola
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
80'
L. Nuorela
FC jazz
🔄
86'
J. Petrishin ↔ J. Marttila
FC jazz
🔄
87'
K. Prince Ume ↔ T. Hukkanen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
87'
O. Balde ↔ E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia

FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC jazz Win 48.6%
Draw 26.3%
KuPS Akatemia Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC jazz1.75
KuPS Akatemia1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC jazz FC jazz
WWDLW
23 GF / 27 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WLDWL
27 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
2.35
10
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC jazz FC jazz 17 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 17 matches
FC jazz Statistic KuPS Akatemia
7 Wins 2
2 Draws 4
8 Losses 11
23 Goals For 27
27 Goals Against 40
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 2.35
10 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KuPS Akatemia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC jazz Analysis

FC jazz sit 8 with 17 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 18:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

KuPS Akatemia sit 11 with 9 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 25:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, FC jazz won 3 times, KuPS Akatemia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from FC jazz's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.9%)
H2H summary: FC jazz wins 3, draws 1, KuPS Akatemia wins 2

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 5 5 54:26 28 47
L W L W D
2 24 12 6 6 51:42 9 42
W W W W L
3 24 11 8 5 49:36 13 41
L D W L D
4 24 10 8 6 45:34 11 38
W L W D D
5 24 10 8 6 47:37 10 38
W D W L D
6 24 9 10 5 42:32 10 37
W W L D D
7 24 10 6 8 35:31 4 36
L W W D W
8 24 8 7 9 55:49 6 31
L L W D D
9 24 7 6 11 34:45 -11 27
L W L W D
10 24 6 5 13 36:53 -17 23
W L L L L
11 24 5 3 16 27:73 -46 18
W L L L W
12 24 3 6 15 41:58 -17 15
L L L W D