FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Porin Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC jazz Win 78.5%
Draw 10.8%
KPV-j Win 10.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC jazz2.18
KPV-j1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC jazz FC jazz
WWDLW
15 GF / 23 GA
KPV-j KPV-j
WLDWL
9 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
3.73
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC jazz FC jazz 13 matches
KPV-j KPV-j 11 matches
FC jazz Statistic KPV-j
5 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 8
15 Goals For 9
23 Goals Against 41
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 3.73
8 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KPV-j. FC jazz arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 14 points compared to KPV-j in 12 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. KPV-j arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KPV-j having the stronger overall control.

FC jazz Analysis

FC jazz sit 7 with 14 points after 11 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Lakkamaki (6 goals), E. Tuominen (3 goals), O. Majaluoma (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

KPV-j Analysis

KPV-j approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 5 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 9:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on V. Valipakka (4 goals), A. Arope (3 goals), W. Wegye (2 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, FC jazz won 1 times, KPV-j won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from FC jazz's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.2%)
H2H summary: FC jazz wins 1, draws 3, KPV-j wins 2
Last matches: FC jazz
25.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
1
L
12.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
SalPa
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
TPV
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
0
2
L
20.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
5
L
02.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
4
L
25.01.26
Fri
FC jazz
Tampere United
1
4
L
Last matches: KPV-j
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
H2H: FC jazz vs KPV-j
20.04.26
H2H
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
W
23.08.25
H2H
FC jazz
KPV-j
1
1
D
14.06.25
H2H
KPV-j
FC jazz
3
1
L
28.09.24
H2H
KPV-j
FC jazz
2
0
L
24.08.24
H2H
FC jazz
KPV-j
3
3
D
08.06.24
H2H
KPV-j
FC jazz
3
3
D
Last matches: FC jazz
25.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
1
L
06.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
SalPa
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
5
L
H2H at home: FC jazz
23.08.25
H2H
FC jazz
KPV-j
1
1
D
24.08.24
H2H
FC jazz
KPV-j
3
3
D
Last matches: KPV-j
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
H2H away: KPV-j
23.08.25
H2H
FC jazz
KPV-j
1
1
D
24.08.24
H2H
FC jazz
KPV-j
3
3
D

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:6 19 28
W W W W W
2 13 7 3 3 35:21 14 24
W W L D W
3 11 6 3 2 22:10 12 21
W L D W L
4 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
L W D L L
5 11 5 3 3 24:20 4 18
W L W W D
6 10 4 3 3 18:12 6 15
D W W L D
7 12 5 2 5 14:19 -5 14
L D D L W
8 10 3 4 3 17:12 5 13
L D D W W
9 12 3 3 6 22:36 -14 12
L D D L W
10 11 2 1 8 16:25 -9 7
L W L L L
11 11 1 4 6 11:21 -10 7
D D L L D
12
KPV-j Away
11 1 2 8 9:41 -32 5
L L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)